Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-12-12

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 28.30s (slow by 3.40s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sir Les Patterson (GB) Oisin Murphy · Harry Eustace	5/4F	Won
2nd	Alhather (IRE) Harry Davies · Andrew Balding	10/1	1.25
2nd	First Alliance (GB) Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	2/1	0
4th	Luas (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	4/1	4.75
5th	Beat The Clock (GB) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	33/1	1.25
6th	Teddy Brown (GB) Adam Farragher · Marco Botti	100/1	.5
7th	Pagliacci (IRE) Jack Gilligan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	80/1	0.2
8th	Prom Queen (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	33/1	0.1
9th	Bella Umbria (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	22/1	3
10th	Tip Top Tank (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	200/1	2
11th	Sally Anne's Dream (GB) Cam Hardie · Simon Whitaker	200/1	6

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	First Alliance Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-23	10.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
500,000gns yearling and has an entry in next year's Irish 2,000 Guineas
6 (3)	Sir Les Patterson Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry Eustace	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry Eustace	133	—	3	-	82	48	27d	—	—	-22	14.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Raced prominently and hung around to be third behind a Godolphin odds-on shot at Kempton
4 (7)	Luas Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	74	-	81	-	137d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Ran well behind a good horse at Newmarket in July; gelded in the meantime
1 (1)	Alhather Bay J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
160,000gns yearling; smart pedigree and he would be appealing if strong in the betting
9 (10)	Bella Umbria Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	—	06	-	77	35	18d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
RPRs in the 60s in 7f novices at Kempton and here; unlikely to be good enough
10 (2)	Prom Queen Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Market informative with the owners also running First Alliance, who dons the first silks
2 (5)	Beat The Clock Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	133	—	—	-	61	-	39d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
100-1 when finishing down the field in a 7f heavy-ground maiden at Newmarket last month
5 (6)	Pagliacci Chestnut J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Already gelded and, unless strong in the betting, appeals as one for further down the line
7 (4)	Teddy Brown Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Marco Botti	J:Adam Farragher T:Marco Botti	133	p	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
4,000gns yearling; best watched with cheekpieces on from the outset
11 (11)	Sally Anne's Dream Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Simon Whitaker	J:Cam Hardie T:Simon Whitaker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Third foal; dam prolific 5f-6f winner (including 2yo/AW; RPR 92); not the obvious answer
8 (8)	Tip Top Tank Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	—	-	14	-	60d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Related to winners from this yard but made a quiet start at huge odds at York (6f, soft)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
First Alliance	2/1	7/4	7/4	2/1	7/4
Sir Les Patterson	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8	11/8
Luas	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Alhather	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Bella Umbria	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Prom Queen	20/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Beat The Clock	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Pagliacci	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Teddy Brown	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Sally Anne's Dream	50/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Tip Top Tank	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Les Patterson

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

First Alliance

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

2/1

3rd

Luas

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Alhather

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bella Umbria

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Prom Queen

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Beat The Clock

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Pagliacci

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Teddy Brown

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Sally Anne's Dream

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Tip Top Tank

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Alliance	—	—	—
Sir Les Patterson	—	82	48
Luas	—	81	—
Alhather	—	—	—
Bella Umbria	—	77	35
Prom Queen	—	—	—
Beat The Clock	—	61	—
Pagliacci	—	—	—
Teddy Brown	—	—	—
Sally Anne's Dream	—	—	—
Tip Top Tank	—	14	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Umbria	18d ago	Fit
Sir Les Patterson	27d ago	Fit
Beat The Clock	39d ago	Fit
Tip Top Tank	60d ago	Fresh
Luas	137d ago	Long break
First Alliance	—	—
Alhather	—	—
Prom Queen	—	—
Pagliacci	—	—
Teddy Brown	—	—
Sally Anne's Dream	—	—