Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-01-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 13.51s (slow by 3.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mighty Power (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Stella Barclay	14/1	Won
2nd	Secret Guest (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart	3/1	0.3
3rd	Lahab (GB) Sam James · Grant Tuer	12/1	1.25
4th	Billyjoh (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	11/8F	1.25
5th	Mondammej (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	15/2	0.2
6th	Fortamour (IRE) Joanna Mason · Ben Haslam	22/1	2.5
7th	Pub Talk (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Philip Kirby	80/1	.75
8th	Shobiz (GB) Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	25/1	6
9th	Our Absent Friends (IRE) Phil Dennis · Tristan Davidson	7/1	8

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Billyjoh Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	55741-	78	100	84	26d	—	—	-12	31.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Finished with a flourish when scoring at Southwell last month; 4lb rise not beyond him
2 (4)	Secret Guest Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	133	—	31426-	83	99	62	38d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	0	22	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Promise over C&D in November; too free last time but type to bounce back quickly
1 (7)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	—	06249-	85	101	74	55d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Talented but quirky; conditions fine but stable having a quiet winter; down in class
4 (8)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Tristan Davidson	J:Phil Dennis T:Tristan Davidson	130	t	/1271-	80	99	-	190d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+16	25.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
3-6 since handicapping; has won after a break in the past; should be more to come in 2024
7 (6)	Lahab Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	127	—	39/31-	77	95	16	145d	—	—	+1	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
7f winner for A Balding when last seen; sprinting could prove his forte; market useful
8 (9)	Mighty Power Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	125	—	75267-	75	101	68	117d	—	—	+5	10.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Two C&D wins last year, including off this mark; patchy on turf; return to AW a plus
3 (2)	Shobiz Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	132	—	/3127-	82	97	-	173d	—	—	+14	18.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
3-time turf winner for C Hlls (promise on AW); 173-day absence to contend with; new yard
6 (1)	Fortamour Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	128	—	71049-	78	99	49	67d	—	—	+8	10.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Course winner; on a fair mark but others are more appealing in today's field
9 (5)	Pub Talk Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	121	—	31500-	71	100	47	74d	—	—	+8	9.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Three wins in Ireland, two on AW at Dundalk; quiet when last seen and 6f a query

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Billyjoh	11/10	6/5	6/5	5/4	11/10
Secret Guest	10/3	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1
Mondammej	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Our Absent Friends	9/1	15/2	17/2	8/1	15/2
Lahab	12/1	10/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Mighty Power	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Shobiz	22/1	22/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Fortamour	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Pub Talk	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Billyjoh

31.2

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 14.2

5/4

2nd

Our Absent Friends

25.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.9

9/1

3rd

Secret Guest

OR: 8.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Shobiz

18.6

OR: 8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Mondammej

14.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Fortamour

10.9

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Mighty Power

10.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Pub Talk

9.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Lahab

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mondammej	85	101	74
Secret Guest	83	99	62
Shobiz	82	97	—
Our Absent Friends	80	99	—
Billyjoh	78	100	84
Fortamour	78	99	49
Lahab	77	95	16
Mighty Power	75	101	68
Pub Talk	71	100	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Billyjoh	26d ago	Fit
Secret Guest	38d ago	Fit
Mondammej	55d ago	Fresh
Fortamour	67d ago	Fresh
Pub Talk	74d ago	Fresh
Mighty Power	117d ago	Long break
Lahab	145d ago	Long break
Shobiz	173d ago	Long break
Our Absent Friends	190d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.