Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Date 2024-01-27

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Winning Time 1m 14.00s (slow by 3.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pocklington (GB) Harry Russell · Geoff Oldroyd	8/1	Won
2nd	Cargin Bhui (IRE) Joe Fanning · David & Nicola Barron	9/2	1.25
3rd	Quiet Resolve (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	3/1F	1
4th	Swing The Ring (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	17/2	.75
5th	Winter War (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	25/1	1
6th	Novarro (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	16/5	2.25
7th	Mayo County (GB) Cam Hardie · Julie Camacho	100/1	0.3
8th	Sunblock (GB) James Sullivan · Richard Fahey	100/1	.5
9th	Native King (GB) Callum Rodriguez · George Boughey	7/2	.5
10th	Wedding Favour (IRE) P J McDonald · George Boughey	18/1	.5
11th	Court Of Roseann (IRE) Sam James · Julie Camacho	200/1	3
12th	Nobodys Girl (GB) Andrew Mullen · Brian Ellison	250/1	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (11)	Quiet Resolve Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	126	—	3-	-	84	63	49d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Green but made good late gains on Wolverhampton debut last month; open to lots of progress
2 (12)	Native King Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	126	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Half-brother to 1m winner Fleurir (RPR 83); dam Group placed (99); yard run two newcomers
1 (5)	Cargin Bhui Bay J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	133	—	6-1	-	91	49	22d	—	—	-3	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Impressive in 5f maiden at Wolverhampton 3 weeks ago (backed); more needed to defy penalty
3 (4)	Novarro Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	126	—	3	-	82	54	21d	—	—	-12	9.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promise amidst greenness on Southwell debut three weeks ago; likely to fare better here
6 (1)	Swing The Ring Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	126	—	4	-	87	56	12d	—	—	-9	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Only 4th on Lingfield debut (well backed) but showed ability and rates a likely improver
4 (2)	Pocklington Bay J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Half-brother to a useful Tapeta winner out of a well-related Group 3 winner; market useful
12 (10)	Wedding Favour Bay J:P J McDonald T:George Boughey	J:P J McDonald T:George Boughey	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Closely related to a Listed winner out of a 6f Group 3 winner; newcomer of some interest
7 (7)	Winter War Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	126	—	5	-	74	61	21d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Didn't see his race out when 5th of 8 at Southwell on debut 3 weeks ago; others stronger
11 (3)	Sunblock Bay J:James Sullivan T:Richard Fahey	J:James Sullivan T:Richard Fahey	121	—	0-5	-	69	36	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Unable to live up to market billing here (7f) 11 days ago; drops in trip; handicaps beckon
9 (6)	Mayo County Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	121	—	7	-	79	65	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Big price for recent Southwell debut (7f) but showed some promise; longer-term prospect
8 (9)	Court Of Roseann Bay J:Sam James T:Julie Camacho	J:Sam James T:Julie Camacho	121	h	—	-	47	-	16d	—	—	0	0.2	43.75/1	175/1 1%
Well-beaten 66-1 shot on her Southwell debut 16 days ago (6f); hard to recommend
10 (8)	Nobodys Girl Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Brian Ellison	J:Andrew Mullen T:Brian Ellison	121	—	—	-	51	23	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	43.75/1	175/1 1%
150-1 and little short-term promise at Southwell 16 days ago; not easily recommended

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Quiet Resolve	10/3	3/1	3/1	5/2	11/4
Native King	3/1	10/3	4/1	11/4	10/3
Cargin Bhui	9/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Novarro	7/2	10/3	4/1	11/4	7/2
Swing The Ring	9/1	13/2	7/1	11/2	6/1
Pocklington	12/1	11/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Wedding Favour	18/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Winter War	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Sunblock	80/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1
Mayo County	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Court Of Roseann	175/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Nobodys Girl	175/1	150/1	100/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cargin Bhui

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Quiet Resolve

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Novarro

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Native King

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Swing The Ring

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

9/1

Pocklington

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Wedding Favour

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Winter War

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Sunblock

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Mayo County

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Court Of Roseann

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

175/1

Nobodys Girl

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

175/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Quiet Resolve	—	84	63
Native King	—	—	—
Cargin Bhui	—	91	49
Novarro	—	82	54
Swing The Ring	—	87	56
Pocklington	—	—	—
Wedding Favour	—	—	—
Winter War	—	74	61
Sunblock	—	69	36
Mayo County	—	79	65
Court Of Roseann	—	47	—
Nobodys Girl	—	51	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sunblock	11d ago	Quick return
Swing The Ring	12d ago	Quick return
Court Of Roseann	16d ago	Fit
Nobodys Girl	16d ago	Fit
Novarro	21d ago	Fit
Winter War	21d ago	Fit
Cargin Bhui	22d ago	Fit
Mayo County	22d ago	Fit
Quiet Resolve	49d ago	Fresh
Native King	—	—
Pocklington	—	—
Wedding Favour	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Swing The Ring	Prominent
Sunblock	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.