Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Plumpton

13:50

Date 2024-01-29

Distance 2m4f114y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Winning Time 5m 19.35s (slow by 35.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Westerninthepark (IRE) Bradley Harris · Anthony Charlton	4/6F	Won
2nd	Madam Ryder (GB) Paul O'Brien · Nicky Henderson	18/1	1
3rd	Kilbarry Hill (GB) Fergus Gregory · Olly Murphy	9/4	3
4th	Overabottleofred (GB) David Noonan · Tom Gretton	80/1	7
5th	Footy's Bridge (IRE) Harry Kimber · Bill Turner	50/1	14
6th	Mountain Bay (IRE) Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins	50/1	8
7th	Stop This Train (IRE) James Best · Sarah Humphrey	250/1	5.5
8th	Chief Lady (IRE) Philip Armson · Cynthia Woods	200/1	2.5
9th	Ballyvaughan Bay (IRE) Brendan Powell · D J Jeffreys	17/2	1.5
10th	Musique De Fee (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Georgina Nicholls	9/1	48

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Jiggaway (GB) Joe Anderson · Emma Lavelle	200/1
P.U.	The Old Bull (GB) Beau Morgan · Tom Gretton	250/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Westerninthepark Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Anthony Charlton	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Anthony Charlton	164	—	2210-3	-	109	21	97d	—	—	-27	18	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Bumper winner who was a promising third on his hurdling debut (2m2f) in October; respected
3	Kilbarry Hill Bay J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	164	t	22-323	110	114	104	34d	—	—	-7	25	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Placed in all three hurdles runs (2m-2m4f) and he sets the standard here; key player
1	Ballyvaughan Bay Bay J:Brendan Powell T:D J Jeffreys	J:Brendan Powell T:D J Jeffreys	164	—	F/9F-2	-	97	90	41d	—	—	-2	6.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Encouraging start over hurdles when runner-up at Fakenham on recent comeback; in the mix
10	Musique De Fee Grey J:Gavin Sheehan T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Georgina Nicholls	157	—	2-364	-	100	31	48d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well held in her last two runs (bumper/hurdle) and she needs significant improvement
9	Madam Ryder Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Henderson	J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Henderson	157	—	5-20	-	87	21	49d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well held on hurdling debut at Lingfield; could show a lot more over this longer trip
2	Footy's Bridge Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Bill Turner	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Bill Turner	164	—	F/882-	-	-	-	603d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Second at Perth in June 2022 but he's not been seen since; best watched on comeback
11	Overabottleofred Chestnut J:David Noonan T:Tom Gretton	J:David Noonan T:Tom Gretton	157	—	U-5F	-	85	71	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has ability but her jumping has been an issue so far and others are preferred
4	Mountain Bay Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	164	—	97-750	99	91	39	47d	—	—	+11	12.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Down the field at big prices in all five runs including three over hurdles; opposable
8	Jiggaway Bay J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	157	—	70	-	-	-	69d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Didn't show much in two bumpers in the autumn and needs to leave that form miles behind
7	Chief Lady Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Cynthia Woods	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Cynthia Woods	157	—	P167	-	91	83	60d	—	—	+4	4.7	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Irish point winner but she's made a low-key start over hurdles this season; no appeal
12	Stop This Train Bay J:James Best T:Sarah Humphrey	J:James Best T:Sarah Humphrey	157	—	6P-P74	-	-	-	65d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has struggled in all four runs under rules and can only be watched
5	The Old Bull Bay J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Tom Gretton	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Tom Gretton	164	t	07-0	-	-	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Tailed off in two bumpers and was beaten out of sight on his recent hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Westerninthepark	11/10	evn	evn	11/10	evn
Kilbarry Hill	7/4	7/4	13/8	15/8	13/8
Ballyvaughan Bay	10/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Musique De Fee	14/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	11/1
Madam Ryder	10/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	9/1
Footy's Bridge	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Overabottleofred	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Mountain Bay	100/1	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Jiggaway	80/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1
Chief Lady	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Stop This Train	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
The Old Bull	150/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kilbarry Hill

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Westerninthepark

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 15

11/10

3rd

Mountain Bay

12.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ballyvaughan Bay

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 4.3 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Musique De Fee

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Chief Lady

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Madam Ryder

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Footy's Bridge

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Overabottleofred

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Jiggaway

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Stop This Train

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

The Old Bull

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kilbarry Hill	110	114	104
Mountain Bay	99	91	39
Westerninthepark	—	109	21
Ballyvaughan Bay	—	97	90
Musique De Fee	—	100	31
Madam Ryder	—	87	21
Footy's Bridge	—	—	—
Overabottleofred	—	85	71
Jiggaway	—	—	—
Chief Lady	—	91	83
Stop This Train	—	—	—
The Old Bull	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Old Bull	19d ago	Fit
Overabottleofred	25d ago	Fit
Kilbarry Hill	34d ago	Fit
Ballyvaughan Bay	41d ago	Fit
Mountain Bay	47d ago	Fresh
Musique De Fee	48d ago	Fresh
Madam Ryder	49d ago	Fresh
Chief Lady	60d ago	Fresh
Stop This Train	65d ago	Fresh
Jiggaway	69d ago	Fresh
Westerninthepark	97d ago	Long break
Footy's Bridge	603d ago	Long break