Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-01-30

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 40.43s (slow by 2.73s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Al Suil Eile (FR) Robert Havlin · Shaun Harris	22/1	Won
2nd	Yorkstone (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	9/4F	0.3
3rd	Soames Forsyte (GB) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	9/2	0.3
3rd	King Of York (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	11/4	0
5th	L'Argent (FR) Luke Morris · Michael Appleby	25/1	1
6th	Bluebottle Blue (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	18/1	1.25
7th	Khathak (GB) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	15/2	.5
8th	Create (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	12/1	0.3
9th	Conservative (IRE) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	14/1	1.25

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (7)	King Of York Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	127	p	0642-3	62	83	71	19d	—	—	-11	13.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Last three runs here and all of them respectable; thereabouts
4 (8)	Yorkstone Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	61131-	68	85	54	39d	0W/1P 1 run	1W/2P 2 runs	+9	31.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Well positioned off steady pace when dead-heating with Soames Forsyte (C&D) in December
5 (1)	Soames Forsyte Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	p	7381-1	68	88	65	18d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Strong finisher; dead-headed with Yorkstone here and followed up at Wolverhampton
3 (2)	Khathak Brown J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	135	tv	2526-6	70	83	66	14d	—	—	-3	8.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-14 since a winning debut for Godolphin; not in bad form of late though
1 (3)	Create Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	135	—	1250-	70	80	31	88d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+5	12.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Should be on a fair mark and back here (where first and second) she's respected
6 (5)	Bluebottle Blue Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	129	t	368-2	64	81	45	11d	—	—	+3	10.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Nearly won at Newcastle when big odds; up in class off 2lb higher but has to be considered
7 (9)	Conservative Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	128	—	43U7-8	63	83	43	19d	—	—	-2	5.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won here for former yard; 0-9 for this one and dropped away here 19 days ago after a break
9 (4)	Al Suil Eile Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Shaun Harris	J:Robert Havlin T:Shaun Harris	124	—	651-58	59	82	56	9d	—	—	-1	3.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Can be forgiven latest defeat at Chelmsford as this is more his track
2 (6)	L'Argent Grey J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	135	—	/70-04	70	82	60	12d	—	—	+3	5.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Early days with yard; ready for another go at 1m after 2l defeat over 7f at Chelmsford

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
King Of York	11/4	5/2	11/4	9/4	5/2
Yorkstone	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
Soames Forsyte	5/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Khathak	15/2	15/2	7/1	8/1	15/2
Create	9/1	10/1	9/1	11/1	9/1
Bluebottle Blue	11/1	10/1	17/2	12/1	9/1
Conservative	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Al Suil Eile	16/1	20/1	16/1	20/1	18/1
L'Argent	33/1	22/1	28/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yorkstone

31.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 20.1 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Soames Forsyte

18.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

King Of York

13.3

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Create

12.6

OR: 5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Bluebottle Blue

10.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Khathak

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

L'Argent

5.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Conservative

5.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Al Suil Eile

3.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khathak	70	83	66
Create	70	80	31
L'Argent	70	82	60
Yorkstone	68	85	54
Soames Forsyte	68	88	65
Bluebottle Blue	64	81	45
Conservative	63	83	43
King Of York	62	83	71
Al Suil Eile	59	82	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Suil Eile	9d ago	Quick return
Bluebottle Blue	11d ago	Quick return
L'Argent	12d ago	Quick return
Khathak	14d ago	Fit
Soames Forsyte	18d ago	Fit
King Of York	19d ago	Fit
Conservative	19d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	39d ago	Fit
Create	88d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.