Newcastle (AW)

16:40 ✓ Result

BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Date 2024-02-02
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 4
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3-5yo
Prize £6,156
Winning Time 1m 31.30s (slow by 7.50s)

Result

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (1)
Marmaduke Lemon
Chestnut
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Edward Bethell
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Edward Bethell
125 0-2
-
84
38
13d -19
16.4
0.41/1
13/8
38%
Big step forward when 2nd to red-hot favourite (pair well clear) at Wolverhampton latest
8 (4)
Alreet Cha
Bay
J:William Pyle(5)
T:Craig Lidster
J:William Pyle(5)
T:Craig Lidster
118 834-22
72
83
72
17d -13
13.5
0.56/1
9/4
31%
She has been threatening to win a race and latest C&D second can be upgraded; solid claims
4 (7)
True Promise
Chestnut
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
130 1
-
71
50
25d -9
18.4
0.63/1
5/2
29%
Dead-heated for 6f novice here on last month's debut; more on his plate under a penalty
6 (5)
Angel Of The Bay
Bay
J:Joe Fanning
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Joe Fanning
T:David & Nicola Barron
123 4-5
-
64
40
25d -5
1.7
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Two 6f runs here not devoid of promise but he'll need a fair bit more for the new trip
7 (10)
Soldier's Class
Bay
J:Morgan Cole(5)
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Morgan Cole(5)
T:Ed Dunlop
121
-
-
-
-2
0.6
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Dam a Listed-placed maiden; apprentice ridden; yard's newcomers usually better for a run
2 (3)
Busan
Bay
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Julie Camacho
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Julie Camacho
138 9
-
51
26
25d -1
0.5
12.50/1
50/1
2%
6f looked inadequate on last month's debut here; may not shine until tackling 1m+
3 (9)
Rose'aid
Bay
J:Rowan Scott
T:Gemma Tutty
J:Rowan Scott
T:Gemma Tutty
135
-
-
-
-2
0.6
16.50/1
66/1
1%
28,000gns 2yo; half-sister to three winners; likely best watched on belated debut
1 (2)
The Follower
Grey
J:Adam Farragher
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Adam Farragher
T:David & Nicola Barron
142 0/8-
-
51
-
367d -1
0.4
37.50/1
150/1
1%
Poor form in two starts (big prices); returns from a year off; hard to recommend
10 (6)
Queen Of Pop
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
116 8
-
42
-
17d -1
0.2
31.25/1
125/1
1%
80-1, slowly away and never in the hunt in a C&D maiden here 17 days ago; no appeal
9 (8)
Highclere Girl
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Mark Walford
J:Cam Hardie
T:Mark Walford
116 7-6
-
57
49
17d -1
0.2
50.00/1
200/1
0%
Modest form in two course runs this winter; handicaps more suitable after this
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Marmaduke Lemon
6/4 13/8 11/8 6/4 5/4
Alreet Cha
9/4 9/4 9/4 2/1 2/1
True Promise
9/4 5/2 9/4 85/40 9/4
Angel Of The Bay
12/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Soldier's Class
40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1
Busan
50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1
Rose'aid
66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 50/1
The Follower
150/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1
Queen Of Pop
100/1 125/1 125/1 100/1 125/1
Highclere Girl
150/1 150/1 200/1 100/1 125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st True Promise
18.4
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4
5/2
2nd Marmaduke Lemon
16.4
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4
13/8
3rd Alreet Cha
13.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8
9/4
4 Angel Of The Bay
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14/1
5 Soldier's Class
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
40/1
6 Rose'aid
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
66/1
7 Busan
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
50/1
8 The Follower
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
150/1
9 Queen Of Pop
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
125/1
10 Highclere Girl
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
200/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Alreet Cha
72
83
72
Marmaduke Lemon
84
38
True Promise
71
50
Angel Of The Bay
64
40
Soldier's Class
Busan
51
26
Rose'aid
The Follower
51
Queen Of Pop
42
Highclere Girl
57
49

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Marmaduke Lemon 13d ago Quick return
Alreet Cha 17d ago Fit
Queen Of Pop 17d ago Fit
Highclere Girl 17d ago Fit
True Promise 25d ago Fit
Angel Of The Bay 25d ago Fit
Busan 25d ago Fit
The Follower 367d ago Long break
Soldier's Class
Rose'aid

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.