Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-02-02

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 30.11s (slow by 6.31s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bobby Joe Leg (GB) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	7/1	Won
2nd	Star Zinc (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Rebecca Menzies	9/2	1.25
3rd	Rory (GB) Shane Gray · Jim Goldie	8/1	.5
4th	Global Spirit (GB) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	28/1	2
5th	Sir Maxi (GB) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	4/1F	0.3
6th	Gobi Sunset (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	11/2	.5
7th	Cold Stare (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	28/1	0.3
8th	Arranmore (GB) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	22/1	0.3
9th	Abruzzo Mia (GB) Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	15/2	0.3
10th	Kats Bob (GB) Cam Hardie · Iain Jardine	16/1	.5
11th	Alexander James (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	9/1	0.05
12th	Emperor Caradoc (FR) Harry Russell · Paul Midgley	12/1	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Star Zinc Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	133	—	166-27	73	86	80	11d	—	—	-8	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner; good 2nd on penultimate start; too free over 1m here latest; can bounce back
3 (3)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	—	7183-9	73	88	64	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	10.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner in November; mixed record since; down in class; strong pace would aid his cause
11 (1)	Bobby Joe Leg Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	125	b	25-111	65	90	67	8d	—	—	-5	7.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
7f Tapeta hat-trick last month; ahead of the handicapper under a penalty; respected
2 (8)	Abruzzo Mia Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	134	—	6175-5	74	88	62	17d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D winner last September; fair efforts this winter without looking ahead of his mark
8 (9)	Alexander James Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	130	tp	8967-2	70	91	65	14d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Back to form when 2nd over C&D two weeks ago; not sure to be in the same form
1 (11)	Gobi Sunset Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	135	—	1086-2	75	88	70	10d	—	—	+5	13.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D winner; good 2nd at Southwell ten days ago; other pace to deal with today
12 (5)	Rory Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Jim Goldie	J:Shane Gray T:Jim Goldie	123	p	25-022	63	88	82	8d	—	—	-3	5.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In good form this winter; return to 7f won't faze him and this should be run to suit
7 (12)	Emperor Caradoc Bay J:Harry Russell T:Paul Midgley	J:Harry Russell T:Paul Midgley	130	—	3330-6	70	86	76	14d	—	—	-1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
May come on for recent return to action (after a wind op); other pace influences on show
10 (10)	Kats Bob Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	129	p	258-13	69	87	65	15d	—	—	+2	6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Three 6f wins since July; stays 7f and looks set to run his race once again
6 (7)	Arranmore Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	130	—	2085-2	70	87	63	14d	—	—	+7	11.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran on well for 2nd over C&D last time but that run may flatter him (got cover from wind)
5 (6)	Cold Stare Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	132	tp	5040-7	72	87	63	20d	—	—	+3	6.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Chance on last year's turf best but recent AW efforts need bettering
9 (2)	Global Spirit Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	31426-	70	85	-	94d	—	—	+10	12.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-12 on AW but handles Tapeta; had an excuse when last seen; not discounted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Star Zinc	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Sir Maxi	4/1	4/1	11/2	7/2	4/1
Bobby Joe Leg	11/2	6/1	5/1	11/2	6/1
Abruzzo Mia	7/1	13/2	11/2	6/1	6/1
Alexander James	15/2	7/1	6/1	15/2	7/1
Gobi Sunset	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Rory	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Emperor Caradoc	9/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Kats Bob	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Arranmore	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Cold Stare	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Global Spirit	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gobi Sunset

13.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

2nd

Alexander James

13.1

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Global Spirit

12.7

OR: 5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Star Zinc

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Arranmore

11.1

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Sir Maxi

10.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Abruzzo Mia

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Bobby Joe Leg

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Emperor Caradoc

7.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Cold Stare

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Kats Bob

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Rory

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gobi Sunset	75	88	70
Abruzzo Mia	74	88	62
Star Zinc	73	86	80
Sir Maxi	73	88	64
Cold Stare	72	87	63
Alexander James	70	91	65
Emperor Caradoc	70	86	76
Arranmore	70	87	63
Global Spirit	70	85	—
Kats Bob	69	87	65
Bobby Joe Leg	65	90	67
Rory	63	88	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bobby Joe Leg	8d ago	Quick return
Rory	8d ago	Quick return
Gobi Sunset	10d ago	Quick return
Star Zinc	11d ago	Quick return
Sir Maxi	14d ago	Fit
Alexander James	14d ago	Fit
Emperor Caradoc	14d ago	Fit
Arranmore	14d ago	Fit
Kats Bob	15d ago	Fit
Abruzzo Mia	17d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	20d ago	Fit
Global Spirit	94d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Sir Maxi	Hold Up
Cold Stare	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.