Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:15

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-02-02

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,664

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Mamalouka Grey J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	129	t	8902-1	49	64	56	30d	—	—	-9	18.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Improved since wind op and handicapping at 1m; hard work to win latest; may progress again
6 (8)	Redondo Bay J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	130	—	096-	50	58	-	155d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Minor form in maidens/1m claimer in Ireland; returns after layoff for new yard
3 (3)	Northern Cracksman Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	p	8760-	53	53	27	108d	—	—	-14	6.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second favourite for 7f handicap debut here; never sighted but can improve for 1m
1 (7)	Likleman Bay J:Jason Hart T:Simon West	J:Jason Hart T:Simon West	135	—	5729-2	55	65	40	11d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Mixed as 2yo; promising debut for yard over C&D and open to improvement
5 (5)	Catena Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	130	b	777-46	50	65	29	13d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Turf winner at about 7f; luckless last time (7f) but quite exposed and unraced here
4 (6)	Supreme Tenacity Bay J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	131	tv	232-65	51	62	43	11d	—	—	-4	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Several good efforts in 1m and 7f handicaps but that run ended last week; bit to prove now
2 (1)	Spyrothedragon Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	134	—	68-6	54	61	-	16d	—	—	-3	2.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Achieved little in 3 starts at 7f/6f; handicaps more suitable; stamina query on pedigree
8 (4)	Darkest Mile Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	126	—	0889-	46	31	-	180d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Had little racing but not yet shown anything, including on handicap debut; first AW run

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Mamalouka	5/2	9/4	9/4
Redondo	3/1	3/1	3/1
Northern Cracksman	3/1	7/2	10/3
Likleman	9/2	4/1	4/1
Catena	12/1	12/1	12/1
Supreme Tenacity	14/1	14/1	14/1
Spyrothedragon	22/1	18/1	16/1
Darkest Mile	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mamalouka

18.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Likleman

11.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Northern Cracksman

6.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Redondo

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Spyrothedragon

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Catena

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Supreme Tenacity

1.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Darkest Mile

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Likleman	55	65	40
Spyrothedragon	54	61	—
Northern Cracksman	53	53	27
Supreme Tenacity	51	62	43
Redondo	50	58	—
Catena	50	65	29
Mamalouka	49	64	56
Darkest Mile	46	31	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Likleman	11d ago	Quick return
Supreme Tenacity	11d ago	Quick return
Catena	13d ago	Quick return
Spyrothedragon	16d ago	Fit
Mamalouka	30d ago	Fit
Northern Cracksman	108d ago	Long break
Redondo	155d ago	Long break
Darkest Mile	180d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.