Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-02-02

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £9,180

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Tasmanian Legend Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	132	—	7652-1	69	78	53	14d	—	—	-10	26.2	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Made all in a slowly-run C&D event two weeks ago; more will be required to follow up
1 (5)	Sennockian Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	32659-	72	80	-	124d	—	—	-11	15.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promise in sprints last summer; no progress in handicaps; gelded; new trip; risky
5 (1)	Good Morning Alex Bay J:Adam Farragher T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Adam Farragher T:David & Nicola Barron	118	—	8751-1	55	79	53	11d	—	—	-6	18.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
2-2 since upped to 1m, quickening well here latest; 3lb wrong under penalty; unexposed
4 (3)	Love Yours Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	125	—	676-37	62	77	55	3d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Suspicion her 7f third last month flatters her; well beaten at Southwell on Tuesday
3 (2)	Howard's Choice Bay J:Shane Gray T:Gemma Tutty	J:Shane Gray T:Gemma Tutty	126	—	96-7	63	74	45	28d	—	—	0	4.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Shaped quite nicely at Southwell four weeks ago but his opening mark isn't an obvious gift

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tasmanian Legend	6/4	6/4	6/4	13/8	6/4
Sennockian	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Good Morning Alex	11/4	11/4	9/4	3/1	11/4
Love Yours	11/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Howard's Choice	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tasmanian Legend

26.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Good Morning Alex

18.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Sennockian

15.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

5/2

Love Yours

5.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Howard's Choice

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sennockian	72	80	—
Tasmanian Legend	69	78	53
Howard's Choice	63	74	45
Love Yours	62	77	55
Good Morning Alex	55	79	53

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.