Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-03-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 1m 13.74s (slow by 3.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Badosa (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Patrick Morris	18/1	Won
2nd	Desert Master (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	18/1	.75
3rd	Nevzilla (IRE) Sam James · Craig Lidster	25/1	1
4th	Dollarindex (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	28/1	.75
5th	Southbank (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	11/8F	0.3
6th	Piper's Fort (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	13/8	2
7th	Ocean Bliss (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	16/1	.75
8th	Yiengaa (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	100/1	2
9th	Grid Iron Maiden (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	20/1	0.05
10th	Tip Top Tank (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	10/1	.5
11th	Gone Like The Wind (IRE) Jack Gilligan · Rod Millman	25/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Piper's Fort Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	p	686-	58	54	-	206d	—	—	-19	11.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Makes handicap debut having been gelded; market support could precede a very big run
4 (8)	Southbank Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	134	t	908-61	57	66	42	16d	—	—	-21	12.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Well-backed winner at Wolverhampton on first run since gelding op; on the shortlist
9 (4)	Tip Top Tank Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	127	—	00-92	50	68	40	12d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Strong-finishing second over 5f here on h'cap debut; this return to 6f could prove ideal
5 (9)	Badosa Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Patrick Morris	J:Billy Loughnane T:Patrick Morris	133	—	7424-1	56	67	57	52d	—	—	+7	13.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won in January on final run for Archie Watson; in the mix on yard debut if repeating form
3 (11)	Ocean Bliss Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	134	—	0-374	57	64	46	17d	—	—	-2	3.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Close fourth of six on last month's handicap debut (7f) and may yet be capable of better
1 (1)	Desert Master Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	137	—	370-41	60	67	45	12d	—	—	-2	4.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won over 5f here recently; the return to 6f poses a question but he's entitled to respect
6 (6)	Grid Iron Maiden Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	—	677-4	56	63	41	12d	—	—	-3	3.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Close fourth over 5f here on handicap debut, when outpaced early; interesting now at 6f
10 (12)	Gone Like The Wind Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	124	hp	70-680	47	66	57	16d	—	—	-3	1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Down the field the last twice and headgear change needs to prompt upturn in fortunes
12 (7)	Nevzilla Bay J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	123	—	602-78	46	65	55	16d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Went close in Southwell classified (6f) in December but soundly beaten the last twice
8 (2)	Dollarindex Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	132	—	66-63	55	63	40	46d	—	—	-1	2.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has an attractive pedigree and goes handicapping off lowly mark; some promise last time
7 (3)	Yiengaa Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	6467-	55	62	31	153d	—	—	0	1.6	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Watch the betting but she was down the field on handicap debut over C&D when last seen
NR (10)	Inawe Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Dennis	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Dennis	123	tp	7-3520	46	65	46	1d	—	—	—	0	—	—
0-7 but placed on two of her last three starts; declared 8:30 Wolverhampton yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Piper's Fort	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Southbank	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Tip Top Tank	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Badosa	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Ocean Bliss	16/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Desert Master	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Grid Iron Maiden	18/1	16/1	18/1	12/1	14/1
Gone Like The Wind	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Nevzilla	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Dollarindex	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Yiengaa	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Badosa

13.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

2nd

Southbank

12.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

7/4

3rd

Piper's Fort

11.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

Desert Master

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ocean Bliss

3.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Grid Iron Maiden

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Tip Top Tank

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Dollarindex

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Yiengaa

1.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Gone Like The Wind

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Nevzilla

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Inawe

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Desert Master	60	67	45
Piper's Fort	58	54	—
Southbank	57	66	42
Ocean Bliss	57	64	46
Badosa	56	67	57
Grid Iron Maiden	56	63	41
Dollarindex	55	63	40
Yiengaa	55	62	31
Tip Top Tank	50	68	40
Gone Like The Wind	47	66	57
Nevzilla	46	65	55
Inawe	46	65	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Inawe	1d ago	Quick return
Tip Top Tank	12d ago	Quick return
Desert Master	12d ago	Quick return
Grid Iron Maiden	12d ago	Quick return
Southbank	16d ago	Fit
Gone Like The Wind	16d ago	Fit
Nevzilla	16d ago	Fit
Ocean Bliss	17d ago	Fit
Dollarindex	46d ago	Fresh
Badosa	52d ago	Fresh
Yiengaa	153d ago	Long break
Piper's Fort	206d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.