Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-03

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £9,421

Winning Time 1m 26.91s (slow by 3.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	One More Dream (GB) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	12/1	Won
2nd	King Of York (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	3/1F	1.75
3rd	Al Muqdad (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	8/1	.75
4th	Novak (GB) William Pyle · Iain Jardine	17/2	.75
5th	Sluzewiec (FR) Phil Dennis · Scott Dixon	80/1	1.5
6th	Ivasecret (IRE) Charles Bishop · Ian Williams	7/2	0.3
7th	San Isidro (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	9/1	2
8th	Rory (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	13/2	0.3
9th	Lady Lavina (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	50/1	3.5
10th	Grey Force One (GB) Aiden Brookes · Philip Kirby	50/1	2.25
11th	Makeen (GB) Hollie Doyle · Julie Camacho	9/1	5.5
12th	Keep Me Stable (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	12/1	1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Ivasecret Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	134	—	9-7812	69	84	66	3d	—	—	-14	12.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
In really good form on Polytrack the last twice; key player if Tapeta isn't an issue
3 (11)	King Of York Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	133	p	2-3313	68	82	65	16d	—	—	-6	13.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Poor strike-rate but sole win came last month and he can be thereabouts once more
7 (10)	Rory Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	p	022361	67	82	75	10d	—	—	+7	22.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two 6f course wins this winter and a good run over today's C&D, too; in the shake-up
4 (4)	Novak Grey J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	133	—	92-366	68	85	75	19d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Twice placed this winter but form has dipped here the last twice; needs to raise his game
8 (5)	San Isidro Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	132	h	0003-3	67	86	62	40d	—	—	0	9.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Third at Southwell on first two runs for this yard and latest form reads well; considered
10 (2)	Makeen Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Julie Camacho	J:Hollie Doyle T:Julie Camacho	132	—	93047-	67	83	24	212d	—	—	0	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Patchy campaign last year and returns from an absence, but with Hollie Doyle on board
6 (12)	Al Muqdad Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	133	—	5/8445	68	81	58	27d	—	—	-1	6.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Only fifth on handicap debut but lightly raced and promise previously; not written off
5 (9)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	133	—	000-93	68	84	48	29d	—	—	0	6.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back to form with good third at Wolverhampton (6f) and should be fine now back up in trip
12 (8)	Keep Me Stable Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	130	—	106-68	65	81	59	9d	—	—	-2	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Form has gone the wrong way but return to Newcastle and to 7f could be major positives
2 (6)	Grey Force One Grey J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Philip Kirby	133	p	910-70	68	81	72	19d	—	—	+3	5.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
C&D win off this mark last September but plenty to prove in view of subsequent form
9 (7)	Lady Lavina Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	132	p	4605-6	67	79	57	18d	—	—	+2	5.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
May capitalise on reduced mark at some stage but hard to be confident on recent evidence
11 (3)	Sluzewiec Grey J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	130	—	60-590	65	74	46	17d	—	—	+3	4.1	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Five wins in France but yet to finish better than fifth across his six British starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ivasecret	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
King Of York	3/1	7/2	9/2	10/3	7/2
Rory	6/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	5/1
Novak	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
San Isidro	9/1	9/1	7/1	9/1	9/1
Makeen	10/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Al Muqdad	10/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
One More Dream	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Keep Me Stable	12/1	12/1	9/1	12/1	12/1
Grey Force One	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Lady Lavina	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	25/1
Sluzewiec	100/1	100/1	125/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rory

22.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 14 Odds: 4.4

6/1

2nd

King Of York

13.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Ivasecret

12.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

San Isidro

9.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Makeen

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Novak

6.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Al Muqdad

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

One More Dream

6.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Keep Me Stable

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Grey Force One

5.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Lady Lavina

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Sluzewiec

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ivasecret	69	84	66
King Of York	68	82	65
Novak	68	85	75
Al Muqdad	68	81	58
One More Dream	68	84	48
Grey Force One	68	81	72
Rory	67	82	75
San Isidro	67	86	62
Makeen	67	83	24
Lady Lavina	67	79	57
Keep Me Stable	65	81	59
Sluzewiec	65	74	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ivasecret	3d ago	Quick return
Keep Me Stable	9d ago	Quick return
Rory	10d ago	Quick return
King Of York	16d ago	Fit
Sluzewiec	17d ago	Fit
Lady Lavina	18d ago	Fit
Novak	19d ago	Fit
Grey Force One	19d ago	Fit
Al Muqdad	27d ago	Fit
One More Dream	29d ago	Fit
San Isidro	40d ago	Fit
Makeen	212d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.