Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-03-10

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,870

Winning Time 1m 13.23s (slow by 1.03s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cinque Verde (GB) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	13/2	Won
2nd	Quandary (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	11/4	0.1
3rd	Sixties Chic (GB) David Probert · Jack Channon	10/1	1.75
4th	Ey Up It's Maggie (GB) Billy Loughnane · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	33/1	0.3
5th	Just A Spark (GB) Oisin Murphy · Rod Millman	2/1F	0.2
6th	Radio Goo Goo (GB) Hollie Doyle · David Evans	4/1	.5
7th	Love Lies (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Archie Watson	15/2	5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Just A Spark Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	134	—	88-111	84	98	78	21d	—	—	-10	16.8	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Has now won her last six starts on the AW; is only 2lb higher and warrants respect
5 (2)	Quandary Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	125	—	16-623	75	99	70	35d	—	—	-8	12	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Hit traffic at a key stage down to 5f latest; lightly raced and goes on the shortlist
1 (5)	Radio Goo Goo gr/b J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	136	—	5559-4	86	100	64	9d	—	—	-3	14	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Progressive last spring; entitled to have come on for her comeback and is one to consider
3 (4)	Love Lies Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Archie Watson	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Archie Watson	126	—	4115-	76	96	66	168d	—	—	+11	21.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Limitations exposed on her handicap company latterly; needs to have improved for the break
6 (3)	Cinque Verde Bay J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	124	—	495-11	74	101	83	10d	—	—	-1	8.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Happier on the AW than turf; the extra furlong is the big question with her
7 (6)	Sixties Chic Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	120	—	73-512	70	99	86	15d	—	—	-1	7.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2-2 over 6f on Tapeta but this tougher than the races she's used to; needs a career-best
4 (1)	Ey Up It's Maggie Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Billy Loughnane T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	126	p	14554-	76	100	64	124d	—	—	+7	9.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
All wins have come over 5f on soft turf, so tonight's conditions don't look optimal

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Just A Spark	2/1	2/1	2/1
Quandary	3/1	3/1	3/1
Radio Goo Goo	7/2	7/2	7/2
Love Lies	13/2	13/2	13/2
Cinque Verde	7/1	7/1	7/1
Sixties Chic	17/2	17/2	17/2
Ey Up It's Maggie	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Love Lies

21.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 12 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Just A Spark

16.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.3

2/1

3rd

Radio Goo Goo

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Quandary

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Ey Up It's Maggie

9.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Cinque Verde

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Sixties Chic

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Radio Goo Goo	86	100	64
Just A Spark	84	98	78
Love Lies	76	96	66
Ey Up It's Maggie	76	100	64
Quandary	75	99	70
Cinque Verde	74	101	83
Sixties Chic	70	99	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Radio Goo Goo	9d ago	Quick return
Cinque Verde	10d ago	Quick return
Sixties Chic	15d ago	Fit
Just A Spark	21d ago	Fit
Quandary	35d ago	Fit
Ey Up It's Maggie	124d ago	Long break
Love Lies	168d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.