Betting.Bet Cheltenham Festival Free Bets Novices' Handicap Chase

Plumpton

14:30

Date 2024-03-11

Distance 2m3f164y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,225

Winning Time 5m 14.20s (slow by 27.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Baddesley (IRE) Freddie Gordon · Chris Gordon	7/2	Won
2nd	Sir Rock (IRE) Tom Cannon · Toby Lawes	10/11F	0.3
3rd	American Gerry (IRE) Daryl Jacob · Hughie Morrison	9/2	.5
4th	Executive Pool (GB) Niall Houlihan · Gary Moore	22/1	18
5th	Elpologreg (FR) Bradley Harris · Seamus Mullins	13/2	6

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Sir Rock Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Toby Lawes	J:Tom Cannon T:Toby Lawes	168	—	1R3511	100	104	67	43d	—	—	+3	43.4	—	—
Won his last two and still looks well handicapped; travelled strongly throughout last time
2	Baddesley Bay J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	168	p	-51369	100	101	70	48d	—	—	+3	22.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Potentially well handicapped but hasn't shone back over fences the last twice
1	American Gerry Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Hughie Morrison	J:Daryl Jacob T:Hughie Morrison	168	—	-U45P4	100	102	86	13d	—	—	+2	16.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Pulled up and last to finish in two chase runs, though latest was a respectable effort
5	Elpologreg Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Seamus Mullins	148	—	594P31	82	103	82	24d	—	—	+12	22.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Probably flattered at Fakenham as he was in trouble and the race rather fell apart
4	Executive Pool Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	150	b	-58P7U	84	84	63	18d	—	—	+6	9.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Defied higher mark over hurdles but jumping has looked an issue in his two chase runs
NR	Nathan Walker Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Keiran Burke	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Keiran Burke	144	—	3550P4	76	90	60	42d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Struggled in two handicaps over hurdles and the same again on January's chase debut here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sir Rock	evn	evn	evn	evn	evn
Baddesley	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
American Gerry	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Elpologreg	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Executive Pool	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Rock

43.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 17.6 Odds: 13.3

—

2nd

Baddesley

22.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Elpologreg

22.2

OR: 8 Form: 11.4 Odds: 2.9

13/2

American Gerry

16.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

9/2

Executive Pool

9.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Nathan Walker

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Rock	100	104	67
Baddesley	100	101	70
American Gerry	100	102	86
Executive Pool	84	84	63
Elpologreg	82	103	82
Nathan Walker	76	90	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
American Gerry	13d ago	Quick return
Executive Pool	18d ago	Fit
Elpologreg	24d ago	Fit
Nathan Walker	42d ago	Fit
Sir Rock	43d ago	Fit
Baddesley	48d ago	Fresh