Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-03-13

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,496

Winning Time 1m 0.20s (slow by 2.70s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bonito Cavalo (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	11/2	Won
2nd	Star Of Lady M (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	11/1	0.2
3rd	Jenever (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	100/30	1
4th	Princess Karine (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	28/1	.75
5th	High Velocity (IRE) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	50/1	.75
6th	Our Absent Friends (IRE) Phil Dennis · Tristan Davidson	33/1	0.3
7th	Gustav Graves (GB) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	11/1	0.1
8th	Pockley (GB) Jonny Peate · Linda Perratt	7/1	0.2
9th	Tyke (IRE) Jason Hart · Michael Appleby	7/1	1

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Zarzyni Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	135	p	-30442	79	95	81	10d	—	—	0	18.1	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Run well in stronger C&D handicaps the last twice; should be in the thick of it
6 (11)	Jenever Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	134	—	130-24	78	92	75	10d	—	—	-5	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner and he's run well in defeat here the last twice; should be involved
11 (7)	Bonito Cavalo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	—	111113	74	93	81	10d	—	—	+16	30	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Flourished on AW this winter, winning five here; set to go well again
9 (4)	Tyke Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	132	—	21-434	76	92	81	29d	—	—	-1	9.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
His four best RPRs have come over 6f at Southwell; something to prove dropped to 5f
10 (9)	Pockley Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	132	b	5-5632	76	92	73	10d	—	—	0	9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Closely matched with Bonito Cavalo on a recent 6f run here; can be involved
1 (1)	Star Of Lady M Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	136	v	30-215	80	93	83	19d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
This winter's wins have come at Lingfield but she's effective elsewhere; considered
5 (8)	Gustav Graves Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	134	—	131211	78	89	79	12d	—	—	+26	31.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won 5 of his last 8 but the handicapper has taken a dim view of the latest win; vulnerable
3 (2)	Princess Karine Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	134	—	62140-	78	92	57	117d	—	—	+12	14.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Can go well fresh and returns off a fair mark; one to be interested in
7 (3)	Reigning Profit Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	v	132774	77	91	81	19d	—	—	+7	9.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Useful on his day but no certainty to confirm Wolverhampton placings with Star Of Lady M
8 (10)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Tristan Davidson	J:Phil Dennis T:Tristan Davidson	133	t	271-90	77	94	58	32d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+5	7.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D winner but yet to fire back from a break and others are stronger tonight
4 (5)	High Velocity Grey J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	134	—	35/9-0	78	86	44	24d	—	—	+6	7.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Low-key stable debut at Kempton last month; needs to leave that well behind

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Zarzyni	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Jenever	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bonito Cavalo	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Tyke	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Pockley	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Star Of Lady M	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Gustav Graves	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Princess Karine	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Reigning Profit	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Our Absent Friends	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
High Velocity	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gustav Graves

31.7

OR: 7 Form: 23.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

2nd

Bonito Cavalo

OR: 6 Form: 20 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Zarzyni

18.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5.3

10/3

Princess Karine

14.2

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Jenever

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Star Of Lady M

9.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Reigning Profit

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Tyke

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Pockley

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

High Velocity

7.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Our Absent Friends

7.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Star Of Lady M	80	93	83
Zarzyni	79	95	81
Jenever	78	92	75
Gustav Graves	78	89	79
Princess Karine	78	92	57
High Velocity	78	86	44
Reigning Profit	77	91	81
Our Absent Friends	77	94	58
Tyke	76	92	81
Pockley	76	92	73
Bonito Cavalo	74	93	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zarzyni	10d ago	Quick return
Jenever	10d ago	Quick return
Bonito Cavalo	10d ago	Quick return
Pockley	10d ago	Quick return
Gustav Graves	12d ago	Quick return
Star Of Lady M	19d ago	Fit
Reigning Profit	19d ago	Fit
High Velocity	24d ago	Fit
Tyke	29d ago	Fit
Our Absent Friends	32d ago	Fit
Princess Karine	117d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Princess Karine	Prominent
Pockley	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.