Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:15

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div II)

Date 2024-03-26

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 41.89s (slow by 4.19s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Van Zant (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	5/2J	Won
2nd	Copper Mountain (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	5/2J	0.3
3rd	Kodebreaker (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	6/1	4.25
4th	Urban Champion (GB) Silvestre De Sousa · Richard Phillips	28/1	1
5th	Letter Of The Law (IRE) Georgia Dobie · John O'Shea	100/1	1.25
6th	Hawajes (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	7/2	0.2
7th	Gracious Grace (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	80/1	1.5
8th	Red Hot Rose (GB) Darragh Keenan · Jack Jones	100/1	5
9th	Dazamay (GB) Callum Shepherd · Stella Barclay	66/1	3.25
10th	Duisker (GB) Clifford Lee · Hughie Morrison	10/1	6
11th	Spring Romance (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Appleby	14/1	3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (8)	Van Zant Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	p	533442	46	60	46	5d	—	—	-8	12.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
1-27; headed in closing stages over C&D (Cl 6) latest; on the shortlist in a weaker race.
5 (6)	Hawajes Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	135	—	821773	48	60	51	10d	—	—	-4	11.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Knuckled down to win a similar event here (7f) in early February; placed since; stamina?
1 (4)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	135	t	616435	49	64	50	4d	—	—	-12	10.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Willing when getting the better of Big Narstie in a similar event here (3-1) in January.
6 (3)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	—	357743	48	62	59	12d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Numerous placed finishes this winter, incl over C&D latest; more convincing than most.
3 (11)	Duisker Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	135	t	965-26	48	62	26	61d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Runner-up at Wolverhampton (penultimate start); well beaten by Copper Mountain since.
9 (2)	Spring Romance Grey J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Appleby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Appleby	135	tv	633696	50	62	57	15d	—	—	-3	3.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
No win since March 2021 (6f); gone off the boil in recent starts; headgear yet to deliver.
10 (9)	Urban Champion Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Phillips	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Phillips	135	—	65-000	46	61	39	20d	—	—	-2	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Struggled in three starts (9.5f-1m4f) in 2024; no reason to anticipate revival
2 (10)	Dazamay Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	135	—	676-0	40	47	16	77d	—	—	-4	1.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Poor form so far, most latterly over C&D (on stable debut; 66-1); impossible to consider.
4 (7)	Gracious Grace Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	135	b	50-478	42	51	38	61d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Still seeking first win (0-12); no positives taken from her latest C&D effort.
8 (5)	Red Hot Rose Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:Jack Jones	J:Darragh Keenan T:Jack Jones	135	t	740	38	47	14	19d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Low-key; this looks more suitable though; can newly applied tongue-tie yield improvement?
7 (1)	Letter Of The Law Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:John O'Shea	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:John O'Shea	135	—	07550-	46	56	-	155d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Brighton regular; returns from absence with plenty to prove, not least AW prowess (0-12).

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Van Zant	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Hawajes	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Copper Mountain	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Kodebreaker	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Duisker	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Spring Romance	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Urban Champion	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dazamay	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Gracious Grace	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Red Hot Rose	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Letter Of The Law	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Van Zant

12.7

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Hawajes

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 4.5

4/1

3rd

Copper Mountain

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 4.1 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Kodebreaker

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Spring Romance

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.8

18/1

Duisker

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Dazamay

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

33/1

Urban Champion

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Red Hot Rose

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Gracious Grace

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Letter Of The Law

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spring Romance	50	62	57
Copper Mountain	49	64	50
Hawajes	48	60	51
Kodebreaker	48	62	59
Duisker	48	62	26
Van Zant	46	60	46
Urban Champion	46	61	39
Letter Of The Law	46	56	—
Gracious Grace	42	51	38
Dazamay	40	47	16
Red Hot Rose	38	47	14

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Copper Mountain	4d ago	Quick return
Van Zant	5d ago	Quick return
Hawajes	10d ago	Quick return
Kodebreaker	12d ago	Quick return
Spring Romance	15d ago	Fit
Red Hot Rose	19d ago	Fit
Urban Champion	20d ago	Fit
Duisker	61d ago	Fresh
Gracious Grace	61d ago	Fresh
Dazamay	77d ago	Fresh
Letter Of The Law	155d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.