BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:35

BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap

Date 2024-03-29

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £77,310

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (13)	Cover Up Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	129	—	251-11	101	122	101	36d	—	—	-1	18.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
3-3 on AW and has looked high class over 5f here the last twice; stiff 6f a nagging doubt
12 (9)	Batal Dubai Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Harry Charlton	J:Clifford Lee T:Harry Charlton	121	—	41-323	93	121	108	28d	—	—	+2	14.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Progressing well and conditions hold no terrors; this may prove too competitive though
1 (8)	Albasheer Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	138	b	453-11	110	120	104	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+7	18.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Impressive in good handicaps here the last twice; lofty mark to defy but folly to ignore
8 (3)	Fivethousandtoone Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	126	v	362-21	98	121	104	44d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+6	14.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two good efforts since headgear was switched to a visor; capable of another big run
15 (15)	Solray Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	114	—	2151-3	86	117	100	38d	—	—	+7	14.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two C&D wins to his name; still has potential but this looks too hot
14 (11)	Billyjoh Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	119	—	1-4112	91	121	101	14d	—	—	+13	19	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Progressing well and the return to 6f looks sure to suit; has his best days ahead of him
10 (5)	Misty Grey Grey J:Rossa Ryan T:David O'Meara	J:Rossa Ryan T:David O'Meara	124	—	54-742	96	121	98	20d	—	—	+8	12.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Two promising runs for his new yard; should cope with the return to 6f; one to consider
7 (14)	Aberama Gold Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	126	v	0144-6	98	120	98	34d	—	—	+9	13.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back to a good mark and looks set to go well in what should be a truly-run event
2 (7)	Coachello Bay J:David Egan T:Gordon Elliott	J:David Egan T:Gordon Elliott	136	—	4115-4	108	116	94	54d	—	—	+12	15.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Conditions not an issue but defying such a mark in a hot handicap may be beyond him
9 (6)	Summerghand Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	124	v	74-052	96	120	91	28d	—	—	+9	12.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Dead-heated with Albasheer at York last summer & reopposes on 21lb better terms; e-w shout
3 (16)	Juan Les Pins Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	133	—	243-28	105	117	90	13d	1W/1P 2 runs	1W/1P 2 runs	+11	14.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Penultimate 5f 2nd was a cracking run; this should be run to suit; big chance back at 6f
5 (4)	Chipstead Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	128	p	41-531	100	120	96	28d	—	—	+11	13.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two AW wins this winter, latterly beating a few of these at Lingfield; this looks tougher
6 (12)	The X O Bay J:David Probert T:John Ryan	J:David Probert T:John Ryan	127	—	20-647	99	119	79	28d	—	—	+11	12.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran well at this meeting last year; latest run better than bare figures; others stronger
13 (1)	Bergerac Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	121	b	11-855	93	120	106	14d	—	—	+10	11.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two 5f wins to end 2023 but this year's efforts leave him with something to find
NR (10)	Apache Outlaw Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Adrian McGuinness	J:NON-RUNNER T:Adrian McGuinness	122	—	6231-1	94	-	-	7d	—	—	—	21	—	—
Done well since switched to AW by new yard; penalty for last week's Dundalk win; contender

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cover Up	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Batal Dubai	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Albasheer	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Fivethousandtoone	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Solray	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Billyjoh	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Misty Grey	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Aberama Gold	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Coachello	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Summerghand	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Juan Les Pins	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Chipstead	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
The X O	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Bergerac	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Apache Outlaw

OR: 11 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Billyjoh

OR: 10.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

11/1

3rd

Cover Up

18.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Albasheer

18.1

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Coachello

15.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Juan Les Pins

14.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Fivethousandtoone

14.5

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Batal Dubai

14.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Solray

14.1

OR: 9 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Aberama Gold

13.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Chipstead

13.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Misty Grey

12.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

16/1

The X O

12.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Summerghand

12.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Bergerac

11.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Albasheer	110	120	104
Coachello	108	116	94
Juan Les Pins	105	117	90
Cover Up	101	122	101
Chipstead	100	120	96
The X O	99	119	79
Fivethousandtoone	98	121	104
Aberama Gold	98	120	98
Misty Grey	96	121	98
Summerghand	96	120	91
Apache Outlaw	94	—	—
Batal Dubai	93	121	108
Bergerac	93	120	106
Billyjoh	91	121	101
Solray	86	117	100

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Apache Outlaw	7d ago	Quick return
Juan Les Pins	13d ago	Quick return
Albasheer	14d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	14d ago	Fit
Bergerac	14d ago	Fit
Misty Grey	20d ago	Fit
Batal Dubai	28d ago	Fit
Summerghand	28d ago	Fit
Chipstead	28d ago	Fit
The X O	28d ago	Fit
Aberama Gold	34d ago	Fit
Cover Up	36d ago	Fit
Solray	38d ago	Fit
Fivethousandtoone	44d ago	Fit
Coachello	54d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.