BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:00

BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap

Date 2024-03-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £77,310

Winning Time 1m 27.33s (slow by 3.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cloud Cover (IRE) Clifford Lee · James Tate	10/1	Won
2nd	Just A Spark (GB) Oisin Murphy · Rod Millman	8/1	1
3rd	Shades Of Summer (IRE) Laura Pearson · Jane Chapple-Hyam	7/2	1.5
4th	Sibyl Charm (IRE) Cam Hardie · Iain Jardine	16/1	.5
5th	Smiling Sunflower (IRE) Tyler Heard · Michael Appleby	100/1	0.3
6th	Nine Tenths (IRE) Jack Enright · William Haggas	7/4F	3
7th	Hodd's Girl (IRE) Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness	16/1	1.5
8th	Aramis Grey (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Rae Guest	10/1	2.5
9th	Wild Side (IRE) Rossa Ryan · George Boughey	6/1	25

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Nine Tenths Bay J:Jack Enright(7) T:William Haggas	J:Jack Enright(7) T:William Haggas	138	t	81-221	100	112	76	20d	—	—	-8	21.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Progressing well on AW; has won for today's apprentice; leading contender
6 (8)	Shades Of Summer Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	126	—	771-11	88	110	75	28d	—	—	-1	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Progressing well on AW for new yard, including C&D; may not have reached her ceiling yet
4 (9)	Wild Side Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:George Boughey	J:Rossa Ryan T:George Boughey	127	p	9261-3	89	109	79	88d	—	—	+6	15.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Continued her progress on AW this winter; work to do with two of these on latest C&D run
3 (2)	Aramis Grey Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:Rae Guest	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Rae Guest	133	—	3232-2	95	109	81	28d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2nd in this race (non handicap) last year; chased home Shades Of Summer on last two runs
5 (7)	Cloud Cover Bay J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	127	h	112-15	89	111	85	28d	—	—	+4	11.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
The addition of a hood looks a good move but she'll need a career best to take this
7 (5)	Just A Spark Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	122	—	8-1115	84	110	90	19d	—	—	+4	10.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Winning spree on AW ground to a halt latest; stamina for 7f has to be taken on trust
8 (6)	Sibyl Charm Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	116	—	212211	78	111	85	16d	—	—	+26	31.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three course wins this year; today's step up class could find her out
2 (3)	Hodd's Girl Grey J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	133	—	23-143	95	109	78	21d	—	—	+7	13	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Prolific winner at Dundalk; 3rd in this race last year; will do well to better that today
9 (1)	Smiling Sunflower Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Michael Appleby	114	t	-85417	76	109	65	37d	—	—	+13	13.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
1m Kempton win last month; less good latest; stiff task from out of weights at this level

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nine Tenths	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Shades Of Summer	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Wild Side	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Aramis Grey	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Cloud Cover	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Just A Spark	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Sibyl Charm	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Hodd's Girl	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Smiling Sunflower	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sibyl Charm

31.6

OR: 7 Form: 23 Odds: 1.6

12/1

2nd

Nine Tenths

21.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

7/4

3rd

Aramis Grey

18.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Wild Side

15.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Smiling Sunflower

13.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Shades Of Summer

13.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Hodd's Girl

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Cloud Cover

11.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Just A Spark

10.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nine Tenths	100	112	76
Aramis Grey	95	109	81
Hodd's Girl	95	109	78
Wild Side	89	109	79
Cloud Cover	89	111	85
Shades Of Summer	88	110	75
Just A Spark	84	110	90
Sibyl Charm	78	111	85
Smiling Sunflower	76	109	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sibyl Charm	16d ago	Fit
Just A Spark	19d ago	Fit
Nine Tenths	20d ago	Fit
Hodd's Girl	21d ago	Fit
Shades Of Summer	28d ago	Fit
Aramis Grey	28d ago	Fit
Cloud Cover	28d ago	Fit
Smiling Sunflower	37d ago	Fit
Wild Side	88d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.