Virgin Bet Queen's Cup (Heritage Handicap) – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

15:35

Virgin Bet Queen's Cup (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2024-03-30

Distance 1m5f216y

Class Class 2

Going Abandoned

Type Flat

Surface

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £51,540

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (13)	Chillingham Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	134	h	42492-	97	114	87	128d	—	—	+6	23.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has an excellent record (112) on soft, so has a shout if he does not race too freely
8 (9)	Sweet Fantasy Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:James Owen	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:James Owen	124	—	03117-	87	111	102	—	—	—	+11	26.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two 1m4f soft-ground wins last summer and 2-2 for new yard over hurdles; considered
1 (8)	Metier Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Harry Fry	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Harry Fry	138	t	/8217-	101	110	85	—	—	—	+11	26.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Second in this race last year and won the 2m2f Chester Cup on soft next time; one to note
6 (5)	Struth Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	131	p	20442-	96	110	96	140d	—	—	+8	21.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Gelded since final 3yo start; has rather a mixed record but is one to consider
4 (2)	Berkshire Rocco Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	p	04254-	96	110	85	197d	—	—	+7	16.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Fifth in the Ebor last August; a case can be made, including on soft
7 (7)	Emiyn Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	129	—	71720-	92	108	90	168d	—	—	+11	19.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Best known front-running at Chester; goes well in the mud; fifth in this on 2023 return
2 (3)	Tritonic Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Alan King	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Alan King	134	—	03040-	97	109	85	—	—	—	-42	32.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Third of 19 at Royal Ascot (2m4f) last June is easily the pick of his last six Flat starts
14 (11)	Yorkindness Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	120	—	13114-	83	107	94	182d	—	—	+16	25.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Five wins over 2m1f/2m in June-September during a busy 2023, the latest at this track
11 (4)	Faylaq Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	120	—	3306-4	83	113	92	15d	—	—	-19	21.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Recent return was far from his only eyecatching run and there's been no win since 2019
12 (6)	Ravenscraig Castle Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	120	tp	2239-6	83	111	101	15d	—	—	-7	14.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Last win was in July 2021; has less to prove than a lot of these given the trip/ground
13 (14)	Hope You Can Run Chestnut J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Charlie Johnston	120	p	53321-	85	109	88	248d	—	—	+14	28.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Final 3yo start was 1m4f win; sold for 16,000gns (same stable) in October and was gelded
9 (12)	Capital Theory Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	123	—	16337-	86	109	65	128d	—	—	+9	16.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
1m5f win at Ayr last September; probably acts on soft; needs to resume with a career best
10 (1)	Evaluation Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	123	t	/45-59	86	111	-	35d	—	—	+4	11.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Running respectably; edging down the weights; sole run on softer than good was in 2021
5 (10)	Manu Et Corde Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	131	t	38500/	94	-	-	524d	—	—	+9	12.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ex-Jim Bolger; bought for 70,000gns in October 2022 and this is his first run since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Chillingham	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sweet Fantasy	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Metier	5/1	9/2	5/1	4/1	5/1
Struth	7/1	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Berkshire Rocco	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Emiyn	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Tritonic	16/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Yorkindness	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Faylaq	16/1	20/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Ravenscraig Castle	25/1	20/1	22/1	16/1	20/1
Hope You Can Run	16/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	9/1
Capital Theory	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Evaluation	20/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Manu Et Corde	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tritonic

32.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 20

16/1

2nd

Hope You Can Run

28.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 15.9 Odds: 4.1

18/1

3rd

Metier

26.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Sweet Fantasy

26.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Yorkindness

25.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 14.9 Odds: 2.6

16/1

Chillingham

23.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Faylaq

21.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

20/1

Struth

21.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Emiyn

19.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Berkshire Rocco

16.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Capital Theory

16.6

OR: 9 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2

22/1

Ravenscraig Castle

14.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.3

25/1

Manu Et Corde

12.6

OR: 11 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

40/1

Evaluation

11.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Metier	101	110	85
Chillingham	97	114	87
Tritonic	97	109	85
Struth	96	110	96
Berkshire Rocco	96	110	85
Manu Et Corde	94	—	—
Emiyn	92	108	90
Sweet Fantasy	87	111	102
Capital Theory	86	109	65
Evaluation	86	111	—
Hope You Can Run	85	109	88
Yorkindness	83	107	94
Faylaq	83	113	92
Ravenscraig Castle	83	111	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Faylaq	15d ago	Fit
Ravenscraig Castle	15d ago	Fit
Evaluation	35d ago	Fit
Chillingham	128d ago	Long break
Capital Theory	128d ago	Long break
Struth	140d ago	Long break
Emiyn	168d ago	Long break
Yorkindness	182d ago	Long break
Berkshire Rocco	197d ago	Long break
Hope You Can Run	248d ago	Long break
Manu Et Corde	524d ago	Long break
Sweet Fantasy	—	—
Metier	—	—
Tritonic	—	—