Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

16:45

Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap

Date 2024-03-30

Distance 5f1y

Class Class 4

Going Abandoned

Type Flat

Surface

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (9)	Thornaby Pearl Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	128	—	4459-1	71	95	82	6d	—	—	-6	24.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Dominated at Doncaster last Sunday; major chance with conditions again ideal
9 (2)	Son Of Sampers Bay J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	124	h	0-7992	67	90	81	6d	—	—	-6	8.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Chased home Thornaby Pearl at Doncaster last weekend; hood fitted now
12 (11)	Zargun Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	121	—	-52691	64	94	73	6d	—	—	+6	18.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ended long losing run at Doncaster last weekend; strong contender if on another going day
7 (4)	American Affair Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	127	—	02213-	70	93	77	191d	—	—	-1	27.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Progressive; third in big field at Ayr final 3yo start; big threat if ready after absence
4 (1)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	132	t	71-906	75	92	87	17d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-5	10.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Might have needed his first three runs this term; Jason Hart a positive booking
1 (6)	Seantrabh Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	137	—	95316-	80	91	73	182d	—	—	+6	20	3.00/1	12/1 8%
5f on ground softer than good is ideal; not discounted after six months off
3 (8)	Ey Up It's Maggie Bay J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	132	p	4554-4	75	94	87	20d	—	—	-3	10	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Pleasing reappearance at Southwell; these conditions should be ideal; big chance
10 (10)	Whisky McGonagall Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	123	—	417-28	66	93	49	18d	—	—	-15	12.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Sole win came over C&D; bumped into a progressive type in January; impossible to rule out
5 (7)	Jordan Electrics Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jim Goldie	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jim Goldie	129	—	01334-	72	92	84	166d	—	—	+6	14.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three 5f wins in 2023; dangerous if fully fit after break; one of three Jim Goldie runners
2 (5)	Rock Melody Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Jim Goldie	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Jim Goldie	136	p	3516-0	79	91	82	27d	—	—	-1	10.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Loves Musselburgh; soundly beaten on reappearance and needs to build on that significantly
8 (12)	Iris Dancer Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	125	—	21100-	68	90	82	147d	—	—	+9	15.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
6f Hamilton specialist; best watched after five months off with usual blinkers missing
11 (3)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	122	—	1267-7	65	92	80	15d	—	—	0	5.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Usually runs over 6f; below par on reappearance; others have more obvious claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Thornaby Pearl	9/4	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1
Son Of Sampers	7/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Zargun	5/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
American Affair	6/1	13/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
Our Absent Friends	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Seantrabh	12/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Ey Up It's Maggie	12/1	10/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Whisky McGonagall	12/1	11/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Jordan Electrics	16/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Rock Melody	20/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Iris Dancer	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Giselles Izzy	28/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

American Affair

27.8

OR: 5 Form: 14 Odds: 8.8

13/2

2nd

Thornaby Pearl

24.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 9.3

9/4

3rd

Seantrabh

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4

12/1

Zargun

18.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Iris Dancer

15.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 9 Odds: 1.8

40/1

Jordan Electrics

14.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.4

16/1

Whisky McGonagall

12.3

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 8.3

12/1

Our Absent Friends

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

9/1

Rock Melody

10.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

20/1

Ey Up It's Maggie

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.8

12/1

Son Of Sampers

8.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Giselles Izzy

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Seantrabh	80	91	73
Rock Melody	79	91	82
Our Absent Friends	75	92	87
Ey Up It's Maggie	75	94	87
Jordan Electrics	72	92	84
Thornaby Pearl	71	95	82
American Affair	70	93	77
Iris Dancer	68	90	82
Son Of Sampers	67	90	81
Whisky McGonagall	66	93	49
Giselles Izzy	65	92	80
Zargun	64	94	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thornaby Pearl	6d ago	Quick return
Son Of Sampers	6d ago	Quick return
Zargun	6d ago	Quick return
Giselles Izzy	15d ago	Fit
Our Absent Friends	17d ago	Fit
Whisky McGonagall	18d ago	Fit
Ey Up It's Maggie	20d ago	Fit
Rock Melody	27d ago	Fit
Iris Dancer	147d ago	Long break
Jordan Electrics	166d ago	Long break
Seantrabh	182d ago	Long break
American Affair	191d ago	Long break