Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

16:05

Date 2024-04-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 11.92s (slow by 0.82s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Al Barez (GB) Jack Mitchell · Tom Clover	5/2F	Won
2nd	Holy Fire (GB) Callum Shepherd · Charlie Fellowes	15/2	0.3
3rd	Radio Goo Goo (GB) Neil Callan · David Evans	17/2	1
4th	Shalaa Asker (GB) Hollie Doyle · Adrian Paul Keatley	11/1	1.25
5th	Al Ameen (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	15/2	0.1
6th	Brazen Idol (GB) Frederick Larson · John Butler	15/2	0.3
7th	Sergeant Pep (IRE) Mr Oliver Timms · Clive Cox	18/1	.5
8th	Almaty Star (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Robert Cowell	14/1	.5
9th	Crazy Luck (GB) Oisin Murphy · Rod Millman	50/1	.5
10th	The Thames Boatman (GB) Ethan Jones · Richard Hughes	13/2	2.75
11th	Twilight Madness (GB) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	12/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Al Barez Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	135	—	/46-36	85	100	77	23d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-4	14.2	0.80/1	16/5 24%
Two good runs back from a break; can win off this mark and not yet fully exposed
3 (12)	The Thames Boatman Bay J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Richard Hughes	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Richard Hughes	133	h	251-31	83	99	83	25d	—	0W/1P 1 run	0	11.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Signs this winter that he's become more straightforward, winning two at Lingfield; solid
1 (2)	Radio Goo Goo gr/b J:Neil Callan T:David Evans	J:Neil Callan T:David Evans	135	—	559-46	85	97	65	22d	—	—	+2	11.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has now dropped below her last winning mark; ran okay twice last month; can be involved
5 (1)	Holy Fire Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	131	v	262-77	81	98	77	23d	—	—	+1	10.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fully effective over C&D but she needs to step up on her last two runs to win
11 (7)	Al Ameen Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	126	t	2/127-	76	101	83	114d	—	—	+4	12.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner on stable debut last October; quiet latest but still has some potential
9 (3)	Brazen Idol Brown J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John Butler	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John Butler	128	—	145-10	78	96	88	8d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+1	9.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D win in January looks rock solid; ignore last week; type to bounce back quickly
8 (8)	Twilight Madness Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	129	—	71-242	79	99	81	32d	—	—	+3	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In good form on AW this winter, winning over 6f at Lingfield in December; each-way shout
6 (4)	Almaty Star Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Robert Cowell	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Robert Cowell	131	—	41425-	81	98	85	144d	—	—	+10	16	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Chelmsford second last October was a good run; not as convincing on stable debut latest
7 (6)	Shalaa Asker Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	p	14736-	80	97	86	142d	—	—	+7	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Multiple AW winner; can go well fresh and he's returning off a fair mark; not discounted
4 (5)	Sergeant Pep Bay J:Oliver Timms(7) T:Clive Cox	J:Oliver Timms(7) T:Clive Cox	132	—	51341-	82	98	40	182d	—	—	+19	23.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Progressing on soft ground last autumn; better to come but absent for six months
12 (11)	Crazy Luck Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	126	—	84848-	76	99	-	169d	—	—	+5	7.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On a lowly mark but her record fresh and on AW suggests there may be other days
NR (10)	Orbital Chime Bay J:George Wood T:James Horton	J:George Wood T:James Horton	127	—	18/84-	77	95	-	199d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Below par in his two runs last year; gelded since; too much to prove for comfort

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Al Barez	16/5	16/5	16/5	16/5	16/5
The Thames Boatman	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Radio Goo Goo	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Holy Fire	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Al Ameen	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Brazen Idol	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Twilight Madness	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Almaty Star	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Shalaa Asker	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sergeant Pep	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Crazy Luck	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sergeant Pep

23.9

OR: 8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

2nd

Almaty Star

OR: 7.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

3rd

Al Barez

14.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

16/5

Shalaa Asker

13.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Al Ameen

12.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

The Thames Boatman

11.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Radio Goo Goo

11.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Holy Fire

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Brazen Idol

9.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Twilight Madness

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Crazy Luck

7.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Orbital Chime

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Barez	85	100	77
Radio Goo Goo	85	97	65
The Thames Boatman	83	99	83
Sergeant Pep	82	98	40
Holy Fire	81	98	77
Almaty Star	81	98	85
Shalaa Asker	80	97	86
Twilight Madness	79	99	81
Brazen Idol	78	96	88
Orbital Chime	77	95	—
Al Ameen	76	101	83
Crazy Luck	76	99	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brazen Idol	8d ago	Quick return
Radio Goo Goo	22d ago	Fit
Al Barez	23d ago	Fit
Holy Fire	23d ago	Fit
The Thames Boatman	25d ago	Fit
Twilight Madness	32d ago	Fit
Al Ameen	114d ago	Long break
Shalaa Asker	142d ago	Long break
Almaty Star	144d ago	Long break
Crazy Luck	169d ago	Long break
Sergeant Pep	182d ago	Long break
Orbital Chime	199d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.