Virgin Bet Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

13:30

Date 2024-04-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £10,308

Winning Time 1m 12.96s (slow by 1.86s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Auric (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Hugo Palmer	7/2C	Won
2nd	Harry Did (GB) Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	7/2C	0.2
3rd	Boadicia (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Harry Eustace	80/1	0.2
4th	Grandlad (IRE) Adam Farragher · James Horton	14/1	1.25
5th	Star Pupil (GB) George Rooke · Richard Hughes	16/1	.5
6th	Kodi Lion (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	7/2C	1.25
7th	Sky Warrior (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	5/1	2.5
8th	Ethandun (IRE) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	10/1	5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Kodi Lion Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	3-	-	83	57	252d	—	—	-12	9.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Travelled well for a long way when 3rd on 7f AW debut last summer; 6f should suit; player
5 (3)	Auric Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	4	-	88	44	35d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Promise on 6f Wolverhampton debut; Murphy takes over from 5lb claimer; player
2 (2)	Harry Did Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	130	—	52-	-	84	85	147d	—	—	-7	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Stepped up a little on 7f debut here when second over 6f at Newcastle; more to come
1 (10)	Sky Warrior Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	137	—	41-	-	84	-	268d	—	—	0	14	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Winner over 6f on turf last July; off since but remains likely to go on to better things
6 (9)	Ethandun Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	264-3	72	84	61	15d	—	—	+2	11.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Fair form and might be sharper for recent Lingfield reappearance; shouldn't be far away
4 (5)	Arkhalia Flynn Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	128	—	5-	-	81	-	260d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Pulled hard on 7f turf debut last summer so the drop in trip may help
7 (8)	Grandlad Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	128	—	2	-	79	22	15d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Plenty to like about his near miss on recent 6f Newcastle debut; likely to improve
3 (7)	Star Pupil Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	130	—	6-	-	79	60	115d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Faded into sixth on 1m course debut in December but he was only 6-1; down 2f in trip
9 (4)	Boadicia Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Harry Eustace	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Harry Eustace	125	—	5-	-	66	53	137d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Better than result (met trouble) when fifth on 7f debut in November; likely improver
NR (1)	Northerner Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Brian Ellison	J:NON-RUNNER T:Brian Ellison	121	—	2-	-	87	-	298d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Fair second on turf debut last June; off since but Hollie Doyle is up and well drawn

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kodi Lion	3/1	10/3	11/4	11/4	11/4
Auric	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Harry Did	9/2	7/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Sky Warrior	7/1	6/1	13/2	5/1	11/2
Ethandun	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	8/1
Arkhalia Flynn	11/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Grandlad	11/1	9/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Star Pupil	14/1	12/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
Boadicia	80/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sky Warrior

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

7/1

2nd

Ethandun

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Harry Did

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

Kodi Lion

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Grandlad

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Auric

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Northerner

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Arkhalia Flynn

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Star Pupil

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Boadicia

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ethandun	72	84	61
Kodi Lion	—	83	57
Auric	—	88	44
Harry Did	—	84	85
Sky Warrior	—	84	—
Arkhalia Flynn	—	81	—
Grandlad	—	79	22
Star Pupil	—	79	60
Boadicia	—	66	53
Northerner	—	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ethandun	15d ago	Fit
Grandlad	15d ago	Fit
Auric	35d ago	Fit
Star Pupil	115d ago	Long break
Boadicia	137d ago	Long break
Harry Did	147d ago	Long break
Kodi Lion	252d ago	Long break
Arkhalia Flynn	260d ago	Long break
Sky Warrior	268d ago	Long break
Northerner	298d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.