Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Kempton (AW)

14:05

Date 2024-04-06

Distance 1m

Class Class 1

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £31,191

Winning Time 1m 40.10s (slow by 2.70s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Adelaise (IRE) William Buick · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	100/30	Won
2nd	Choisya (GB) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	5/2F	0.2
3rd	Rose Prick (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	50/1	1.25
4th	Julia Augusta (GB) James Doyle · Roger Varian	4/1	0.05
5th	Zouky (GB) Oisin Murphy · Philip McBride	18/1	0.3
6th	Mystic Pearl (FR) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	17/2	2
7th	Many Tears (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	6/1	0.1
8th	Mother Mary (IRE) Franny Norton · James Ferguson	14/1	.5
9th	Enola Grey (IRE) Rowan Scott · Gemma Tutty	28/1	4.5
10th	Mysterious Love (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · David Menuisier	33/1	.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Choisya Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	01621-	100	119	90	138d	—	—	+13	35.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Progressing well despite an inclination to hang left; C&D winner; leading form claims
2 (4)	Adelaise Bay J:William Buick T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:William Buick T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	45245-	98	114	-	174d	—	—	+2	19.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has only a novice win to her name but has regularly run well in good company; contender
5 (1)	Julia Augusta Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	128	—	9624-5	92	112	84	96d	—	—	-1	14.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Low mileage for her age; ran well over C&D in November but work to do with Choisya on that
1 (5)	Many Tears Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	131	t	75131-	95	111	72	148d	—	—	+19	32	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Impressed in 1m Dundalk Listed race in November; sold 300,000gns December; unexposed at 1m
8 (8)	Mystic Pearl Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	p	213-64	100	112	-	43d	—	—	+6	15	1.88/1	15/2 12%
1m Listed win on turf last summer; struggled in Group 2s in Dubai this year; headgear now
10 (10)	Zouky Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Philip McBride	J:Oisin Murphy T:Philip McBride	128	—	01258-	92	106	80	151d	—	—	+12	17.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Unexposed at the trip but she'll need a clear personal best to trouble the principals
4 (2)	Enola Grey Grey J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	128	—	532011	84	100	78	21d	—	—	+26	28.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Thriving for new yard this winter; this represents a much stiffer test of her credentials
6 (6)	Mother Mary Bay J:Franny Norton T:James Ferguson	J:Franny Norton T:James Ferguson	128	—	3123-	82	98	-	198d	—	—	+19	21.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
7f turf winner last summer; beaten off a mark of 82 on handicap debut; this looks too hot
7 (9)	Mysterious Love Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:David Menuisier	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:David Menuisier	128	—	75798-	92	111	-	159d	—	—	+9	11	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Shown a good level of ability without making the frame in five stakes races; AW debut
9 (3)	Rose Prick Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	128	—	6/457-	92	106	-	252d	—	—	+10	10.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Beaten only 3l at this level in France last summer but opposable on balance of her form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Choisya	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Adelaise	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Julia Augusta	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Many Tears	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Mystic Pearl	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Zouky	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Enola Grey	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Mother Mary	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Mysterious Love	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Rose Prick	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Choisya

35.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Many Tears

OR: 11.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Enola Grey

28.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 19.1 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Mother Mary

21.1

OR: 8 Form: 12.4 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Adelaise

19.5

OR: 12 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Zouky

17.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Mystic Pearl

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Julia Augusta

14.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Mysterious Love

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Rose Prick

10.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Choisya	100	119	90
Mystic Pearl	100	112	—
Adelaise	98	114	—
Many Tears	95	111	72
Julia Augusta	92	112	84
Zouky	92	106	80
Mysterious Love	92	111	—
Rose Prick	92	106	—
Enola Grey	84	100	78
Mother Mary	82	98	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enola Grey	21d ago	Fit
Mystic Pearl	43d ago	Fit
Julia Augusta	96d ago	Long break
Choisya	138d ago	Long break
Many Tears	148d ago	Long break
Zouky	151d ago	Long break
Mysterious Love	159d ago	Long break
Adelaise	174d ago	Long break
Mother Mary	198d ago	Long break
Rose Prick	252d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.