Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:20

Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap

Date 2024-04-08

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 58.83s (slow by 1.33s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Whisky McGonagall (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	5/1	Won
2nd	Herakles (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	4/1J	0.2
3rd	High Opinion (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart	11/2	1.25
4th	Papa Don't Preach (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Kevin Frost	14/1	.5
5th	Belsito (GER) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	6/1	.5
6th	Rainbow Rain (GB) Connor Beasley · Tracy Waggott	4/1J	.5
7th	Global Humor (USA) Hollie Doyle · Jim Goldie	14/1	0.3
8th	Mews House (GB) Paddy Mathers · Linda Perratt	40/1	1.75
9th	Stallone (IRE) William Pyle · Michael Dods	10/1	0.3
10th	Indian Sounds (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Paul Midgley	25/1	3.5
11th	Kitbag (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	33/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (11)	Rainbow Rain Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	132	p	11534-	62	80	64	121d	—	—	-3	15.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Consistent & progressive last year; in the mix if at top of his game on return from break
2 (3)	Herakles Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	08-166	65	78	71	38d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won over C&D in January; two fair sixths over C&D the next twice; each-way possible
1 (1)	Whisky McGonagall Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	136	—	417-28	66	80	55	27d	—	—	-4	7.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Lightly raced 4yo; below best at Southwell latest but good second over this C&D previously
3 (9)	Belsito Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	134	—	3070-8	64	81	55	38d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Soundly beaten over C&D latest but has had wind op since and is on a reduced mark
7 (6)	High Opinion Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	129	—	7713-4	59	79	64	74d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won over C&D last November and continued to run well; returns from 74-day break
8 (5)	Stallone Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Michael Dods	J:William Pyle(5) T:Michael Dods	127	v	815321	57	77	67	14d	—	—	+13	21.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two C&D wins from his last five starts and he's a solid candidate
11 (2)	Global Humor Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jim Goldie	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jim Goldie	123	b	713723	53	76	70	14d	—	—	+6	11.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
His slow starts are a concern now back down to 5f but he arrives in good form
4 (12)	Papa Don't Preach Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	134	—	7667-9	64	75	52	15d	—	—	0	4.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well treated on last spring's form but no upturn in fortunes on recent reappearance
10 (8)	Kitbag Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	125	—	16-469	55	79	69	66d	—	—	-1	2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Below par on final 2 runs for Jack Channon but is below last winning mark; not discounted
5 (10)	Indian Sounds Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Paul Midgley	J:Ryan Sexton T:Paul Midgley	133	—	1006-0	63	78	58	31d	—	—	+2	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
May have needed last month's run and he's on a handy mark judged on his two wins last June
12 (4)	Mews House Chestnut J:Paddy Mathers T:Linda Perratt	J:Paddy Mathers T:Linda Perratt	123	—	4-8779	53	74	60	14d	—	—	-1	1.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
His mark continues to fall but no better than seventh here on his four runs this year
NR (7)	Kaidu Bay J:Harry Russell T:Susan Corbett	J:Harry Russell T:Susan Corbett	126	—	0200-3	56	75	61	87d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Inconsistent nine-race maiden but good third last time; not ruled out on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rainbow Rain	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Herakles	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Whisky McGonagall	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Belsito	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
High Opinion	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Stallone	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Global Humor	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Papa Don't Preach	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Kitbag	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Indian Sounds	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Mews House	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stallone

21.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 17 Odds: 2.4

8/1

2nd

Rainbow Rain

15.5

OR: 3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.4

10/3

3rd

Global Humor

11.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Herakles

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Whisky McGonagall

7.3

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Belsito

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Papa Don't Preach

4.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

High Opinion

4.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Kaidu

4.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Indian Sounds

3.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Kitbag

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Mews House

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Whisky McGonagall	66	80	55
Herakles	65	78	71
Belsito	64	81	55
Papa Don't Preach	64	75	52
Indian Sounds	63	78	58
Rainbow Rain	62	80	64
High Opinion	59	79	64
Stallone	57	77	67
Kaidu	56	75	61
Kitbag	55	79	69
Global Humor	53	76	70
Mews House	53	74	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stallone	14d ago	Fit
Global Humor	14d ago	Fit
Mews House	14d ago	Fit
Papa Don't Preach	15d ago	Fit
Whisky McGonagall	27d ago	Fit
Indian Sounds	31d ago	Fit
Herakles	38d ago	Fit
Belsito	38d ago	Fit
Kitbag	66d ago	Fresh
High Opinion	74d ago	Fresh
Kaidu	87d ago	Fresh
Rainbow Rain	121d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.