Liz And Izzy's HOAP Podcast Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Liz And Izzy's HOAP Podcast Handicap

Date 2024-04-09

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 2m 31.03s (slow by 12.13s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bearwith (GB) Cam Hardie · Harriet Bethell	5/1	Won
2nd	Percy Willis (GB) Saffie Osborne · Jedd O'Keeffe	12/1	0.3
3rd	Iron Lion (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	13/2	1.75
4th	Bohemian Breeze (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	12/1	4
5th	Incremental (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Michael Bell	6/5F	1.75
6th	Chillhi (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	12/1	.5
7th	Sonning (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Danny Brooke	125/1	3.5
8th	Parish Councillor (IRE) Rossa Ryan · David & Nicola Barron	5/1	6.5

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Incremental Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	137	—	421-	80	89	57	143d	—	—	-9	36	11/10 48%
Progressive last year; market interesting on handicap debut after five months off
5 (6)	Parish Councillor Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Rossa Ryan T:David & Nicola Barron	131	—	/19-55	74	91	51	25d	—	—	-5	10.4	11/2 15%
Out of the frame in last three starts, but ran better than it looked here last month
6 (5)	Bearwith Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	128	—	1491-2	71	88	67	15d	—	—	0	14.3	7/1 13%
Three wins last year and runner-up to an in-form rival on return; respected off same mark
3 (2)	Iron Lion Grey J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	137	—	33147-	80	90	-	179d	—	—	+6	17.1	7/1 13%
Makes his AW debut after six months off having been gelded in the meantime; watch market
8 (4)	Percy Willis Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jedd O'Keeffe	127	p	854313	70	88	59	8d	—	—	+11	18.6	11/1 8%
Holding his form well despite being kept busy since returning last October; not dismissed
4 (8)	Bohemian Breeze Grey J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	713-03	76	90	80	15d	—	—	+2	8.1	16/1 6%
Just 1lb above his last winning mark and could play a part granted a solid gallop
1 (3)	Chillhi Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	137	—	35406-	80	91	68	190d	—	—	+3	10	14/1 7%
Dual Newcastle winner as a 2yo, but not seen since beating one home there last October
7 (7)	Sonning Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Danny Brooke	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Danny Brooke	127	—	1638/0	70	83	19	20d	—	—	+4	5.4	100/1 1%
Last three wins have come over hurdles; finished last returned to the Flat here last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Incremental	evn	11/10	evn	5/6	10/11
Parish Councillor	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	5/1
Bearwith	7/1	7/1	13/2	9/2	13/2
Iron Lion	7/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Percy Willis	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Bohemian Breeze	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Chillhi	14/1	14/1	10/1	12/1	12/1
Sonning	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Incremental

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 15

11/10

2nd

Percy Willis

18.6

OR: 5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Iron Lion

17.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Bearwith

14.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

7/1

Parish Councillor

10.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Chillhi

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Bohemian Breeze

8.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Sonning

5.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Incremental	80	89	57
Iron Lion	80	90	—
Chillhi	80	91	68
Bohemian Breeze	76	90	80
Parish Councillor	74	91	51
Bearwith	71	88	67
Percy Willis	70	88	59
Sonning	70	83	19

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Percy Willis	8d ago	Quick return
Bearwith	15d ago	Fit
Bohemian Breeze	15d ago	Fit
Sonning	20d ago	Fit
Parish Councillor	25d ago	Fit
Incremental	143d ago	Long break
Iron Lion	179d ago	Long break
Chillhi	190d ago	Long break