Fred Smith's 80th Birthday Celebrations Fillies' Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:10

Fred Smith's 80th Birthday Celebrations Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-04-13

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 12.92s (slow by 1.02s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ziggy's Dream (IRE) Sean Levey · Alice Haynes	7/1	Won
2nd	Key To Cotai (IRE) Liam Keniry · Ed Walker	9/4	1.5
3rd	Dapperling (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	17/2	1.25
4th	Woolhampton (IRE) Oliver Searle · Rod Millman	28/1	1.25
5th	Radio Goo Goo (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Evans	2/1F	2.25
6th	Lady Pink Rose (GB) Sam James · K R Burke	12/1	.5
7th	Ashwiyaa (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	12/1	.5
8th	Stars On Fire (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	20/1	1.5
9th	Silent Flame (GB) Jack Gilligan · Rod Millman	25/1	7.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Radio Goo Goo gr/b J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	142	—	59-463	85	94	81	12d	—	—	-9	16.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Back to a good mark and ran well from the front at Kempton 12 days ago; strong claims
9 (2)	Key To Cotai Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:Ed Walker	J:Liam Keniry T:Ed Walker	128	—	24152-	83	86	-	196d	—	—	+5	25.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
5f winner at two on heavy; best run last year came over 7f and with headgear tried
8 (8)	Ziggy's Dream Bay J:Sean Levey T:Alice Haynes	J:Sean Levey T:Alice Haynes	128	—	57181-	83	86	82	144d	—	—	+15	26.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two C&D wins last year, including a Class 4 handicap when last seen in November; chance
11 (4)	Dapperling Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	125	—	12408-	80	86	-	211d	—	—	+5	13.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Some useful 5f form last summer but she ended her 2yo campaign quietly
5 (9)	Lady Pink Rose Chestnut J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	131	h	27182-	86	87	-	209d	—	—	+15	21.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Some useful 2yo form but likely improvement will be needed to make a winning h'cap debut
7 (6)	Ashwiyaa Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	129	t	2913-3	84	84	79	13d	—	—	+7	13.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Looked rusty on recent stable/handicap debut; tongue tie now added; can do better
3 (12)	Woolhampton Bay J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	139	—	33247-	82	93	58	156d	—	—	+9	13	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Had some strong handicap form last summer; C&D winner; tricky draw on her return
4 (3)	Stars On Fire Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	137	b	/319-8	80	89	52	30d	—	—	+5	8.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Two wins for Wesley Ward in the US last year; low-key stable debut last month; risky
6 (5)	Silent Flame Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	129	—	39856-	72	90	51	180d	—	—	+4	7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Five-time turf winner; yet to shine on AW and best watched back from six months off
10 (7)	Baileys Polka Dot Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	125	t	4560-0	80	88	31	55d	—	—	+6	8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two wins in France last year but well beaten at 80-1 on h'cap debut; had wind op since
NR (11)	Star Of Lady M Grey J:TBC T:David O'Meara	J: T:David O'Meara	143	v	-21521	86	90	83	9d	—	—	—	26.5	—	—
Enjoyed a fine winter and 4lb rise for last week's Lingfield win fair; one to consider
NR (10)	Nariko Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Hugo Palmer	J:NON-RUNNER T:Hugo Palmer	118	h	451-4	73	90	-	38d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Too keen on stable/handicap debut and now tried in a hood; not fully exposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Radio Goo Goo	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Key To Cotai	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Ziggy's Dream	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Dapperling	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Lady Pink Rose	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Ashwiyaa	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Woolhampton	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Stars On Fire	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Silent Flame	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Baileys Polka Dot	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ziggy's Dream

26.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Star Of Lady M

26.5

OR: 9 Form: 17.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Key To Cotai

25.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 11 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Lady Pink Rose

21.7

OR: 9 Form: 11 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Radio Goo Goo

16.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.8

9/4

Dapperling

13.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Ashwiyaa

13.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Woolhampton

OR: 8 Form: 4 Odds: 1

20/1

Stars On Fire

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Baileys Polka Dot

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Silent Flame

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Nariko

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Pink Rose	86	87	—
Star Of Lady M	86	90	83
Radio Goo Goo	85	94	81
Ashwiyaa	84	84	79
Key To Cotai	83	86	—
Ziggy's Dream	83	86	82
Woolhampton	82	93	58
Dapperling	80	86	—
Stars On Fire	80	89	52
Baileys Polka Dot	80	88	31
Nariko	73	90	—
Silent Flame	72	90	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Of Lady M	9d ago	Quick return
Radio Goo Goo	12d ago	Quick return
Ashwiyaa	13d ago	Quick return
Stars On Fire	30d ago	Fit
Nariko	38d ago	Fit
Baileys Polka Dot	55d ago	Fresh
Ziggy's Dream	144d ago	Long break
Woolhampton	156d ago	Long break
Silent Flame	180d ago	Long break
Key To Cotai	196d ago	Long break
Lady Pink Rose	209d ago	Long break
Dapperling	211d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Star Of Lady M	Front Runner
Nariko	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.