Bet At racingtv.com Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Stratford

15:23

Date 2024-04-21

Distance 2m2f148y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,512

Winning Time 4m 43.07s (slow by 27.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Garitsa Bay (IRE) Charlie Todd · Ian Williams	9/1	Won
2nd	Deerstalker (IRE) Ben Jones · Ben Pauling	9/1	0.2
3rd	Largy Force (IRE) James Bowen · Warren Greatrex	11/2	4.5
4th	My Granny Lily (GB) David Noonan · Nigel Hawke	16/1	1.5
5th	Avada Kedavra (IRE) Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	10/11F	4
6th	Rhodia (IRE) Robert Dunne · Sarah Hollinshead	7/1	.5
7th	Secret Sauce (IRE) Bradley Harris · Harriet Dickin	40/1	6
8th	Camino Rocio (IRE) Tom Cannon · Henrietta C Knight	66/1	7
9th	Gentle Victor (GB) William Shanahan · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	25/1	4.5
10th	Nick The Greek (GB) Fergus Gregory · Jake Thomas Coulson	80/1	8
11th	Rebel Mc (GB) Peter Kavanagh · Donald McCain	50/1	70

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Den The Diva (GB) Philip Armson · Andy Irvine	125/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Avada Kedavra Brown J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	166	—	4-377	101	102	93	99d	—	—	-21	30.6	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Definite promise on hurdle debut (2m4f, good to soft); likely type now handicapping
3	Largy Force Brown J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	167	—	1/222	102	100	96	31d	—	—	+10	24	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Winning Irish pointer; three solid runs under rules; every chance on handicap debut
2	Deerstalker Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	167	t	F0-44P	102	97	81	88d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Promising 4th (good to soft) to subsequent winners; pulled up on heavy; capable of better
9	Rhodia Chestnut J:Robert Dunne T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Robert Dunne T:Sarah Hollinshead	147	—	-65655	82	106	95	84d	—	—	+2	10.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Maiden; vulnerable in handicaps but not far away since wind op and return to 2m2f can suit
8	Garitsa Bay Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	152	—	78684	87	102	83	21d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Looked likely to improve with racing when 4th on handicap debut (2m2f); in the shake-up
11	My Granny Lily Bay J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	142	p	-4F135	77	105	80	31d	—	—	+9	15	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Heavy-ground 2m winner; nearly always kept to testing surfaces; queried on drying ground
7	Secret Sauce Chestnut J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	155	tp	U625F	100	96	65	21d	—	—	+11	14.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won 1m claimer in Ireland; hurdle promise but fell latest and needs more off opening mark
1	Nick The Greek Bay J:Fergus Gregory T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:Fergus Gregory T:Jake Thomas Coulson	168	—	4-6714	103	98	89	27d	—	—	+12	13.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Successful yard debut in 2m novice; outstayed in Exeter seller since; extra needed
6	Gentle Victor Bay J:William Shanahan(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:William Shanahan(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	156	t	7586P5	91	105	79	32d	—	—	+8	11	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Encouraging hurdle debut on good to soft; struggled in the mud since; may do better now
10	Rebel Mc Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	142	t	96P5-0	77	101	85	343d	—	—	+5	7.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Fell short in 3 handicaps at 2m-2m5f for previous yard; had wind op and now tongue tied
5	Camino Rocio Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Tom Cannon T:Henrietta C Knight	157	—	560	92	104	90	151d	—	—	+9	11.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Some hurdle promise in Ireland; worth considering on handicap debut for new yard
12	Den The Diva Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Andy Irvine	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Andy Irvine	142	p	4-97PP	77	99	86	73d	—	—	+6	7.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Saddle slipped in January but minor handicap form either side; plenty to find; 4lb wrong

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Avada Kedavra	8/13	4/5	8/11	8/13	8/11
Largy Force	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Deerstalker	9/1	9/1	17/2	15/2	8/1
Rhodia	9/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Garitsa Bay	11/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1
My Granny Lily	18/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Secret Sauce	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
Nick The Greek	50/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	40/1
Gentle Victor	66/1	40/1	40/1	25/1	33/1
Rebel Mc	66/1	50/1	50/1	28/1	40/1
Camino Rocio	66/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	40/1
Den The Diva	150/1	100/1	100/1	50/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Avada Kedavra

30.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 17.9

4/5

2nd

Largy Force

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Deerstalker

15.5

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

My Granny Lily

OR: 6.8 Form: 6.7 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Secret Sauce

14.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 0.7 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Nick The Greek

13.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Garitsa Bay

11.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Camino Rocio

11.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Gentle Victor

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Rhodia

10.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Rebel Mc

7.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Den The Diva

7.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nick The Greek	103	98	89
Largy Force	102	100	96
Deerstalker	102	97	81
Avada Kedavra	101	102	93
Secret Sauce	100	96	65
Camino Rocio	92	104	90
Gentle Victor	91	105	79
Garitsa Bay	87	102	83
Rhodia	82	106	95
My Granny Lily	77	105	80
Rebel Mc	77	101	85
Den The Diva	77	99	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Garitsa Bay	21d ago	Fit
Secret Sauce	21d ago	Fit
Nick The Greek	27d ago	Fit
Largy Force	31d ago	Fit
My Granny Lily	31d ago	Fit
Gentle Victor	32d ago	Fit
Den The Diva	73d ago	Fresh
Rhodia	84d ago	Fresh
Deerstalker	88d ago	Fresh
Avada Kedavra	99d ago	Long break
Camino Rocio	151d ago	Long break
Rebel Mc	343d ago	Long break