Sky Bet Match5 Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

16:45

Sky Bet Match5 Handicap

Date 2024-04-21

Distance 1m2y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,360

Winning Time 1m 41.80s (slow by 4.10s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kelpie Grey (GB) Saffie Osborne · Jim Goldie	16/1	Won
2nd	Pallas Lord (IRE) Jason Hart · Donald Whillans	11/1	1.75
3rd	Bell Shot (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	9/2F	.5
4th	Black Friday (GB) Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	20/1	1.5
5th	Bloodhound (IRE) Clifford Lee · Charles Hills	6/1	1.25
6th	Shine On Brendan (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Jim Goldie	20/1	0.1
7th	Young Fire (FR) David Nolan · David O'Meara	8/1	1.75
8th	Night Breeze (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Ian Williams	40/1	.5
9th	Alpine Sierra (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	10/1	.75
10th	B Associates (IRE) Mark Winn · Jim Goldie	25/1	.5
11th	Flylikeaneagle (IRE) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	12/1	.5
12th	Hougoumont (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	10/1	.75
13th	Ahamoment (IRE) Joe Fanning · David & Nicola Barron	9/1	3
14th	Bird Of Play (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey	9/1	18

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (10)	Bell Shot Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	135	—	8-3412	69	83	16	17d	—	—	-4	8.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Respectable 7f form for new yard; return to 1m is the question mark
14 (11)	Hougoumont Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	130	—	900-53	64	81	62	23d	—	—	-3	6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran promisingly last time; looks ready for a crack at this new trip
12 (14)	Bloodhound Grey J:Clifford Lee T:Charles Hills	J:Clifford Lee T:Charles Hills	131	—	8P-35	65	78	31	72d	—	—	-3	6.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Penultimate effort was boosted by the winner on Wednesday; handicap debut
11 (4)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	131	t	111421	65	83	46	27d	—	—	+16	24.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Very productive on AW at Newcastle this year; now back up in grade
3 (6)	Young Fire Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	135	v	665-99	69	86	72	19d	—	—	-1	7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
May rebound with visor reapplied; 12lb below last winning mark
10 (1)	Bird Of Play Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	132	—	23747-	66	79	79	194d	—	—	0	8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Nicely treated on debut for new yard; won off 2lb higher last May
4 (2)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	53510-	69	81	66	184d	—	—	+7	14.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won on reappearance last term and can't be dismissed
2 (5)	Ahamoment Bay J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	135	—	1703-1	69	79	69	93d	—	—	+10	16.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has done all his winning over 7f; bit to prove back at 1m
1 (9)	Flylikeaneagle Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	135	tb	72-069	69	86	61	68d	—	—	+1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won well off a similar mark over C&D last April; respected back here
8 (13)	Shine On Brendan Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jim Goldie	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jim Goldie	134	b	3003-8	68	81	75	39d	—	—	+1	5.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dual course scorer who is on last winning mark; possibilities
9 (12)	Kelpie Grey Grey J:Saffie Osborne T:Jim Goldie	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jim Goldie	133	—	68014-	67	79	61	171d	—	—	+8	12.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
7f winner on last turf attempt; modest results at 1m+
7 (7)	Black Friday Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	134	—	31536-	68	81	75	201d	—	—	+7	11.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Unimpressive strike-rate since 2021; not the percentage call
6 (3)	B Associates Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	135	—	13867-	69	82	70	192d	—	—	+5	8.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
All wins at 6f/7f but this return to 1m looks worth exploring
13 (8)	Night Breeze Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	130	—	563-0	64	74	11	10d	—	—	+2	4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
May improve in this grade on second handicap attempt

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Bell Shot	11/2	11/2	11/2
Hougoumont	15/2	15/2	15/2
Bloodhound	7/1	7/1	7/1
Pallas Lord	17/2	17/2	17/2
Young Fire	17/2	17/2	17/2
Bird Of Play	9/1	9/1	9/1
Alpine Sierra	9/1	9/1	9/1
Ahamoment	11/1	11/1	11/1
Flylikeaneagle	12/1	12/1	12/1
Shine On Brendan	14/1	14/1	14/1
Kelpie Grey	18/1	18/1	18/1
Black Friday	18/1	18/1	18/1
B Associates	20/1	20/1	20/1
Night Breeze	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pallas Lord

24.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

2nd

Ahamoment

16.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

11/1

3rd

Alpine Sierra

14.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Kelpie Grey

12.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Black Friday

11.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.7 Odds: 1.1

18/1

B Associates

8.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1

20/1

Bell Shot

8.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Bird Of Play

OR: 4 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Young Fire

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Bloodhound

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Flylikeaneagle

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Hougoumont

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Shine On Brendan

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Night Breeze

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bell Shot	69	83	16
Young Fire	69	86	72
Alpine Sierra	69	81	66
Ahamoment	69	79	69
Flylikeaneagle	69	86	61
B Associates	69	82	70
Shine On Brendan	68	81	75
Black Friday	68	81	75
Kelpie Grey	67	79	61
Bird Of Play	66	79	79
Bloodhound	65	78	31
Pallas Lord	65	83	46
Hougoumont	64	81	62
Night Breeze	64	74	11

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Night Breeze	10d ago	Quick return
Bell Shot	17d ago	Fit
Young Fire	19d ago	Fit
Hougoumont	23d ago	Fit
Pallas Lord	27d ago	Fit
Shine On Brendan	39d ago	Fit
Flylikeaneagle	68d ago	Fresh
Bloodhound	72d ago	Fresh
Ahamoment	93d ago	Long break
Kelpie Grey	171d ago	Long break
Alpine Sierra	184d ago	Long break
B Associates	192d ago	Long break
Bird Of Play	194d ago	Long break
Black Friday	201d ago	Long break