Roflow Spring Evening Gala Gallop Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Roflow Spring Evening Gala Gallop Handicap

Date 2024-04-26

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (10)	Humble Spark Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	-68282	53	74	52	10d	—	—	-7	14.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Runner-up in two of his last three starts; 2lb well in and has to come into the reckoning
2 (4)	Spirit Of Ash Bay J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	135	h	2-8413	60	71	64	18d	—	—	-8	11.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two good runs over 1m4f here this year; should give another good account
5 (1)	Life On The Rocks Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	134	—	0/7998	59	77	39	17d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Current ability hard to gauge but plummeted down the weights and has run well over C&D
6 (3)	Yakhabar Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Jack Garritty T:Liam Bailey	134	p	5-1551	59	71	50	18d	—	—	-7	5.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two 1m4f wins here this year; up in the weights and down in trip; could prove vulnerable
11 (7)	Fifty Sent Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	127	p	03-835	52	71	55	34d	—	—	-7	3.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Conditions to suit and on a reduced mark so not discounted with a recent run behind him
8 (12)	Oscar Doodle Grey J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	131	—	2250-4	56	72	61	10d	—	—	-6	4.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair fourth over C&D last time but work to do with Humble Spark on that evidence
7 (6)	We Still Believe b/br J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	133	—	59-243	58	72	51	10d	—	—	-3	3.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Split Humble Spark and Oscar Doodle when 3rd here last week; more required to win
9 (2)	Emer Elysees Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Tristan Davidson	J:Phil Dennis T:Tristan Davidson	130	h	0-8896	55	64	37	10d	—	—	-1	2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Little solid form to her name and nearly 7l behind Humble Spark here ten days ago
12 (8)	Visitant Chestnut J:William Pyle(5) T:David Thompson	J:William Pyle(5) T:David Thompson	122	p	52668-	47	72	57	164d	—	—	0	2.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
C&D winner; ended 2023 quietly and likely best watched back from a break
1 (9)	Run Simba Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Cam Hardie T:Rebecca Menzies	135	p	29-709	60	72	40	18d	—	—	+1	3.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor form in 2024 and today's change of headgear isn't enough to tempt
4 (11)	Going To The Moon Bay J:David Allan T:David Thompson	J:David Allan T:David Thompson	134	p	0593-0	59	68	-	10d	—	—	+1	2.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Inadequate trip on recent stable debut but 0-9 and needs a full revival
NR (5)	Dragons Will Rise Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	135	—	-67706	60	74	28	32d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Conditions ideal and dropping into Class 6 company an obvious plus; revival quite possible

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Humble Spark	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Spirit Of Ash	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Life On The Rocks	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1
Yakhabar	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2
Fifty Sent	15/2	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Oscar Doodle	15/2	7/1	8/1	7/1	7/1
We Still Believe	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Emer Elysees	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Visitant	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Run Simba	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Going To The Moon	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Humble Spark

14.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Spirit Of Ash

11.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Life On The Rocks

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Yakhabar

5.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Oscar Doodle

4.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

We Still Believe

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Fifty Sent

3.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Run Simba

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Going To The Moon

2.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Dragons Will Rise

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Visitant

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Emer Elysees

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Ash	60	71	64
Run Simba	60	72	40
Dragons Will Rise	60	74	28
Life On The Rocks	59	77	39
Yakhabar	59	71	50
Going To The Moon	59	68	—
We Still Believe	58	72	51
Oscar Doodle	56	72	61
Emer Elysees	55	64	37
Humble Spark	53	74	52
Fifty Sent	52	71	55
Visitant	47	72	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Humble Spark	10d ago	Quick return
Oscar Doodle	10d ago	Quick return
We Still Believe	10d ago	Quick return
Emer Elysees	10d ago	Quick return
Going To The Moon	10d ago	Quick return
Life On The Rocks	17d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Ash	18d ago	Fit
Yakhabar	18d ago	Fit
Run Simba	18d ago	Fit
Dragons Will Rise	32d ago	Fit
Fifty Sent	34d ago	Fit
Visitant	164d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.