CAA Stellar Handicap – Chester

Chester

13:30

CAA Stellar Handicap

Date 2024-05-09

Distance 5f15y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £22,932

Winning Time 1m 0.13s (slow by 1.13s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Democracy Dilemma (IRE) Tom Marquand · Robert Cowell	11/4F	Won
2nd	Copper Knight (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	12/1	0.3
3rd	Vintage Clarets (GB) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	8/1	0.05
4th	Roman Dragon (GB) Oisin Murphy · Hugo Palmer	100/30	.75
5th	Night On Earth (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	11/1	.5
6th	Manila Scouse (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	7/1	2.25
7th	She's Centimental (USA) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	66/1	0.2
8th	Changeofmind (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	14/1	0.2
9th	Clearpoint (GB) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	8/1	0.3
10th	Spoof (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Kevin Frost	66/1	.5
11th	Michaela's Boy (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	16/1	1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Democracy Dilemma Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Robert Cowell	J:Tom Marquand T:Robert Cowell	138	—	651-39	97	109	93	89d	—	—	-1	17	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two-time C&D winner; not at best in UAE for new yard this winter; good draw; contender
2 (1)	Roman Dragon Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	136	—	800-12	95	102	79	83d	—	—	-1	16.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Course specialist but all wins over 6f; career-high mark to defy; 5f perhaps too sharp
8 (7)	Manila Scouse Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	125	t	3444-2	84	109	101	11d	—	—	+5	16.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
All wins over 5f but on slower ground; things might happen too quickly for him today
3 (5)	Vintage Clarets Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	136	—	113-77	95	107	72	12d	—	—	+5	13.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Four wins in 2023, including C&D; this should be run to suit; interesting off reduced mark
7 (3)	Clearpoint Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	130	—	3-3834	89	107	82	16d	—	—	+5	14.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Latest fourth can be upgraded having found himself poorly placed early; one to consider
10 (12)	Night On Earth Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	123	t	124221	82	106	95	16d	—	—	+20	26.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Blitzed rivals from the front at Epsom latest; stall 12 the obvious stumbling block today
11 (4)	Copper Knight Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	116	t	0656-7	75	105	106	14d	—	—	+2	8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Three-time C&D winner who is on a good mark; likely to go well despite his advanced years
6 (6)	Michaela's Boy Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	t	2800-0	90	110	93	18d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a dangerous mark on his 3yo best; low-key return though and lots of other pace in here
5 (10)	Changeofmind Chestnut J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	133	—	1/198-	92	103	75	299d	—	—	+14	18.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Unexposed C&D winner; gelded since last seen; down in class but has an awkward draw
4 (9)	Spoof Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Kevin Frost	133	—	9215-8	92	107	95	37d	—	—	+9	11	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Low-key return at Pontefract; drawn wide and slower ground would be preferable
12 (11)	She's Centimental Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	114	—	819981	73	107	73	36d	—	—	+17	18.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Two minor AW wins this year; no turf form and no appeal from stall 11
NR (8)	Radio Goo Goo gr/b J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	124	—	9-4635	83	108	-	26d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
2-2 at the track but both at 6f (0-13 at this trip); lots of other early pace to deal with

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Democracy Dilemma	7/2	7/2	7/2
Roman Dragon	7/2	7/2	7/2
Manila Scouse	11/2	11/2	11/2
Vintage Clarets	15/2	15/2	15/2
Clearpoint	7/1	7/1	7/1
Night On Earth	11/1	11/1	11/1
Copper Knight	11/1	11/1	11/1
Michaela's Boy	12/1	12/1	12/1
Changeofmind	18/1	18/1	18/1
Spoof	40/1	40/1	40/1
She's Centimental	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Night On Earth

26.7

OR: 8 Form: 17 Odds: 1.7

11/1

2nd

Changeofmind

18.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.3

18/1

3rd

She's Centimental

18.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Democracy Dilemma

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.3

7/2

Manila Scouse

16.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Roman Dragon

16.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

7/2

Clearpoint

14.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Vintage Clarets

13.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Michaela's Boy

11.6

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Spoof

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Radio Goo Goo

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Copper Knight

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Democracy Dilemma	97	109	93
Roman Dragon	95	102	79
Vintage Clarets	95	107	72
Changeofmind	92	103	75
Spoof	92	107	95
Michaela's Boy	90	110	93
Clearpoint	89	107	82
Manila Scouse	84	109	101
Radio Goo Goo	83	108	—
Night On Earth	82	106	95
Copper Knight	75	105	106
She's Centimental	73	107	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Manila Scouse	11d ago	Quick return
Vintage Clarets	12d ago	Quick return
Copper Knight	14d ago	Fit
Clearpoint	16d ago	Fit
Night On Earth	16d ago	Fit
Michaela's Boy	18d ago	Fit
Radio Goo Goo	26d ago	Fit
She's Centimental	36d ago	Fit
Spoof	37d ago	Fit
Roman Dragon	83d ago	Fresh
Democracy Dilemma	89d ago	Fresh
Changeofmind	299d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Clearpoint	Prominent
Copper Knight	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.