Noughties Friday 31st May Handicap (A Jockey Club Grassroots Mile Series Qualifier)

Carlisle

20:00

Date 2024-05-20

Distance 7f173y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,496

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Redarna Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	137	p	160-54	87	99	75	16d	—	—	-6	15.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Retains plenty of ability aged ten; four-time winner at Carlisle; in the mix
1 (3)	James McHenry Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	137	—	60368-	87	97	72	223d	—	—	-3	16.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
This reappearance may be the time to catch him; won his first two starts last season
3 (5)	Ernie's Valentine Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:David Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:David Loughnane	131	t	927719	81	96	-	19d	—	—	+5	20.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has a better strike-rate on AW than on turf; doesn't look the percentage call
5 (4)	Fools Rush In Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	124	t	445-09	74	98	44	10d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well treated on best form but doesn't appear poised to regain the winning thread
6 (6)	Strongbowe Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	124	p	2660-9	74	98	91	32d	—	—	-1	8.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Good record over C&D includes a close third in this contest 12 months ago; solid
4 (1)	Detective Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Dianne Sayer	J:Connor Murtagh T:Dianne Sayer	124	—	4247-0	74	99	83	29d	—	—	0	8.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Five course wins include this race in 2022 (close second last year); not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Redarna	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
James McHenry	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Ernie's Valentine	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Fools Rush In	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Strongbowe	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Detective	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ernie's Valentine

20.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

James McHenry

16.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.8

3/1

3rd

Redarna

15.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Fools Rush In

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Strongbowe

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Detective

8.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Redarna	87	99	75
James McHenry	87	97	72
Ernie's Valentine	81	96	—
Fools Rush In	74	98	44
Strongbowe	74	98	91
Detective	74	99	83

Last Run