Permavent High Quality Membranes Handicap – Hamilton

Hamilton

17:20

Permavent High Quality Membranes Handicap

Date 2024-05-29

Distance 1m1f35y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 2m 3.93s (slow by 9.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ledger (IRE) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	4/1	Won
2nd	We Still Believe (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Daragh Bourke	5/6F	.75
3rd	Dogged (GB) Mohammed Tabti · Rebecca Menzies	6/1	2.5
4th	Sea Girt (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	6/1	.5
5th	Lady Lavina (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	16/1	12

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	We Still Believe b/br J:Paul Mulrennan T:Daragh Bourke	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Daragh Bourke	131	—	-24372	58	75	65	12d	—	—	-21	24.5	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Consistent sort who was a good second here last time and is a key player back up in trip
3 (7)	Ledger Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	130	b	913251	57	74	66	12d	—	—	+6	21.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beat We Still Believe over 8.3f here last time and he's respected back up in trip
1 (3)	Dogged Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	137	tp	550-79	64	74	12	19d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Four wins in 2023 but he's lost his way in last five runs and needs to turn things around
6 (4)	Sea Girt Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	122	t	958-27	49	72	-	109d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has had wind surgery but he's 0-8 and has been hard to predict; others preferred
4 (2)	Lady Lavina Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	p	5-6998	57	69	-	36d	—	—	-5	4.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has beaten only four rivals in her four runs this year and has a lot to prove
NR (5)	Moush Bay J:Sam James T:Liam Bailey	J:Sam James T:Liam Bailey	128	h	5-0607	55	69	29	2d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
16-race maiden who has struggled this season and was last of seven at Redcar on Monday
NR (6)	Penelope's Sister Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	120	—	600/5	47	-	-	27d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Back from long absence with encouraging run on handicap debut at Ayr; non-runner

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
We Still Believe	10/11	6/5	6/5
Ledger	9/2	4/1	4/1
Dogged	5/1	9/2	4/1
Sea Girt	11/2	5/1	5/1
Lady Lavina	12/1	15/2	15/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

We Still Believe

24.5

OR: 2 Form: 7.5 Odds: 15

6/5

2nd

Ledger

21.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 15.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Dogged

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Lady Lavina

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Sea Girt

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Moush

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Penelope's Sister

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dogged	64	74	12
We Still Believe	58	75	65
Ledger	57	74	66
Lady Lavina	57	69	—
Moush	55	69	29
Sea Girt	49	72	—
Penelope's Sister	47	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moush	2d ago	Quick return
We Still Believe	12d ago	Quick return
Ledger	12d ago	Quick return
Dogged	19d ago	Fit
Penelope's Sister	27d ago	Fit
Lady Lavina	36d ago	Fit
Sea Girt	109d ago	Long break