Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares)

Ascot

15:45

Date 2024-06-19

Distance 7f213y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £133,467

Winning Time 1m 39.12s (fast by 0.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Running Lion (GB) Oisin Murphy · John & Thady Gosden	6/1	Won
2nd	Laurel (GB) Ryan Moore · John & Thady Gosden	4/1	2
3rd	Doom (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	12/1	2
4th	Magical Sunset (IRE) David Egan · Adrian Murray	66/1	0.1
5th	Rogue Millennium (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	100/30F	0.1
6th	Julia Augusta (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	50/1	.5
7th	Breege (GB) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	14/1	0.2
8th	Royal Dress (IRE) Ben Coen · James Tate	25/1	1.25
9th	Orchid Bloom (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	28/1	0.3
10th	Novus (IRE) Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	28/1	0.3
11th	Ocean Jewel (IRE) W J Lee · W McCreery	15/2	3.5
12th	Nibras Angel (GB) Kevin Stott · Ismail Mohammed	125/1	1.25
13th	Sea The Lady (FR) Aurelien Lemaitre · Christopher Head	17/2	0.2
14th	Gregarina (FR) William Buick · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	14/1	0.3

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (2)	Rogue Millennium Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	5205-3	110	127	115	24d	—	—	+2	24.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won this last year and she didn't get much luck on stable debut last month; key player
6 (1)	Laurel Bay J:Ryan Moore T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Ryan Moore T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	12/10-	110	126	76	396d	—	—	+3	20	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Back from 396 days off but she's still lightly raced and is a big player on her best form
13 (11)	Running Lion Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	238-28	106	122	90	18d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Enters the reckoning on her best form but was disappointing last time; risks attached
1 (12)	Ocean Jewel Bay J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	131	h	3158-1	108	118	91	24d	—	—	+17	27.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won Group 2 at Curragh and had two of today's rivals behind her; respected under penalty
14 (10)	Sea The Lady Bay J:Aurelien Lemaitre T:Christopher Head	J:Aurelien Lemaitre T:Christopher Head	128	—	4365-3	104	117	77	52d	—	—	+10	18.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
French filly who has something to find and her tactical speed will be tested back at 1m
3 (6)	Doom Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	2141-3	100	113	81	44d	—	—	+11	17.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Still has potential but best form has been at 7f and she has quite a bit to find here
2 (13)	Breege Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	128	p	542-31	102	120	103	18d	—	—	+9	14.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Group 3 win at Epsom last time; has more to do here but she's in the mix; headgear on
4 (14)	Gregarina Chestnut J:William Buick T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:William Buick T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	h	2757-1	103	119	87	44d	—	—	+19	24.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Last-gasp win in Group 3 on stable debut and she's not ruled out back up in trip
12 (9)	Royal Dress Bay J:Ben Coen T:James Tate	J:Ben Coen T:James Tate	128	h	407-13	102	117	100	18d	—	—	+10	14.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Big improvement in hood for new yard; now steps up to a Group 2 but she could be dangerous
9 (7)	Novus Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	128	p	141-72	107	121	65	46d	—	—	+12	15	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Went close in Listed race last month but this demands more and all wins have been on soft
10 (4)	Orchid Bloom Grey J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	t	132-64	104	116	63	24d	—	—	+12	14.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has some work to do on these terms and fast ground is an unknown factor; tongue-tie on
5 (5)	Julia Augusta Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	128	—	24-544	97	112	96	18d	—	—	+10	12.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Behind two of today's rivals in Group 3 at Epsom and this looks a tough task
7 (3)	Magical Sunset Bay J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	128	—	00-540	100	120	68	25d	—	—	+11	13	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Won Group 3 at Goodwood last summer but she's been disappointing since; others preferred
8 (8)	Nibras Angel Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Kevin Stott T:Ismail Mohammed	128	t	436906	90	108	48	6d	—	—	+10	10.8	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Losing run is up to nine and she's bottom of the pack on ratings

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rogue Millennium	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Laurel	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Running Lion	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Ocean Jewel	7/1	13/2	15/2	6/1	7/1
Sea The Lady	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Doom	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Breege	16/1	16/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Gregarina	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Royal Dress	22/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Novus	28/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Orchid Bloom	33/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Julia Augusta	50/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	50/1
Magical Sunset	80/1	80/1	66/1	40/1	80/1
Nibras Angel	150/1	100/1	100/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ocean Jewel

27.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Gregarina

24.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Rogue Millennium

24.7

OR: 15 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Laurel

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Sea The Lady

18.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Running Lion

17.3

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Doom

17.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Novus

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Breege

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Orchid Bloom

14.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Royal Dress

14.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Magical Sunset

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Julia Augusta

12.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Nibras Angel

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rogue Millennium	110	127	115
Laurel	110	126	76
Ocean Jewel	108	118	91
Novus	107	121	65
Running Lion	106	122	90
Sea The Lady	104	117	77
Orchid Bloom	104	116	63
Gregarina	103	119	87
Breege	102	120	103
Royal Dress	102	117	100
Doom	100	113	81
Magical Sunset	100	120	68
Julia Augusta	97	112	96
Nibras Angel	90	108	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nibras Angel	6d ago	Quick return
Running Lion	18d ago	Fit
Breege	18d ago	Fit
Royal Dress	18d ago	Fit
Julia Augusta	18d ago	Fit
Rogue Millennium	24d ago	Fit
Ocean Jewel	24d ago	Fit
Orchid Bloom	24d ago	Fit
Magical Sunset	25d ago	Fit
Doom	44d ago	Fit
Gregarina	44d ago	Fit
Novus	46d ago	Fresh
Sea The Lady	52d ago	Fresh
Laurel	396d ago	Long break