Betfred Play Fred's £5 Million Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

19:50

Betfred Play Fred's £5 Million Handicap

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 7f3y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,449

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (7)	Buy The Dip Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	133	—	-64211	68	81	72	12d	—	—	+11	29.2	7/2 22%
Bids for a hat-trick off a 6lb higher mark, but ran poorly in one start on soft ground
2 (2)	Vinaka Bay J:Tom Queally T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Tom Queally T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	134	—	7634-8	69	81	70	25d	—	—	-6	9.2	5/1 17%
C&D winner (soft) last August; may have come on from last month's return/stable debut
3 (10)	Al Ameen Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	134	tb	-55052	69	84	59	7d	—	—	-1	14.2	9/2 18%
1lb well in, but a record of 2-23 is a concern and soft ground would be another question
4 (1)	Mumayaz Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	133	t	614625	68	85	77	19d	—	—	-1	14.4	5/1 17%
Back off last winning mark and this may be his optimum trip; shortlisted
1 (4)	Conquest Of Power Chestnut J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Mark Usher	137	p	257113	72	82	40	18d	—	—	+12	23.8	15/2 12%
Held off this mark in hat-trick bid last time; bit more needed in returning cheekpieces
9 (3)	Otago Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	126	p	952873	61	85	59	9d	—	—	+1	9.8	9/1 10%
Dual C&D winner, including of this race three years ago; still off last winning mark
7 (6)	Guiteau Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	59216-	63	76	72	237d	—	—	+7	14.9	14/1 7%
May be best on good or faster ground on turf and is back from eight months off
6 (8)	Maxzeno Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Adam West	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Adam West	129	—	75453-	64	79	74	215d	—	—	+2	8.1	18/1 5%
0-11; market may reveal what is expected on stable debut after seven months off
10 (5)	Rabinal Chestnut J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Simon Dow	124	—	180770	59	76	25	31d	—	—	+1	2.7	50/1 2%
3lb below latest winning mark, but efforts since then don't suggest this will be his day
NR (9)	Electric Avenue Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:George Baker	J:NON-RUNNER T:George Baker	127	—	656413	62	-	-	2d	—	—	—	13	—
Off the mark on turf debut at Brighton in June; not fare so well on soft there on Tuesday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Buy The Dip	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Vinaka	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Al Ameen	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Mumayaz	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Conquest Of Power	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Otago	9/1	17/2	15/2	15/2	17/2
Guiteau	11/1	11/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Maxzeno	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Rabinal	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Buy The Dip

29.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Conquest Of Power

23.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Guiteau

14.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Mumayaz

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Al Ameen

14.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Electric Avenue

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Otago

9.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Vinaka

9.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Maxzeno

8.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Rabinal

2.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Conquest Of Power	72	82	40
Vinaka	69	81	70
Al Ameen	69	84	59
Buy The Dip	68	81	72
Mumayaz	68	85	77
Maxzeno	64	79	74
Guiteau	63	76	72
Electric Avenue	62	—	—
Otago	61	85	59
Rabinal	59	76	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Electric Avenue	2d ago	Quick return
Al Ameen	7d ago	Quick return
Otago	9d ago	Quick return
Buy The Dip	12d ago	Quick return
Conquest Of Power	18d ago	Fit
Mumayaz	19d ago	Fit
Vinaka	25d ago	Fit
Rabinal	31d ago	Fit
Maxzeno	215d ago	Long break
Guiteau	237d ago	Long break