Hermitage Green At Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Handicap

Leopardstown

18:50

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 1m

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €8,850

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (13)	Ferrybank Bay J:W J Lee T:T M Walsh	J:W J Lee T:T M Walsh	141	t	512201	79	83	70	21d	—	—	+13	27.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Up 7lb and might find it difficult to get an easy lead this time but certainly respected
3 (5)	Giuseppe Cassioli Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	140	—	40-312	78	85	68	20d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Up another 1lb but has the services of a top 7lb claimer; might need luck from his draw
11 (10)	Eastern Wind Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	132	v	-88534	70	86	69	6d	—	—	-3	11.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Back to form with good efforts last twice here and at Bellewstown; should go well again
1 (4)	Grey Leader Grey J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	142	h	1-0005	80	92	60	34d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Did not run badly at Fairyhouse last month and is down to a competitive mark; hood tried
15 (6)	Rio Largo Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	130	—	440942	68	91	80	21d	—	—	+1	12.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D runner-up; chance if reproducing that but might need luck in running from his draw
6 (16)	Royal Pippen Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Patrick Magee	J:Rory Cleary T:Patrick Magee	137	—	990-50	75	89	63	38d	—	—	0	8.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well beaten upped in trip at Gowran latest but definite claims on previous Curragh form
12 (2)	Mooretown Lad Bay J:Colin Keane T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Colin Keane T:M D O'Callaghan	132	—	859-	70	84	26	209d	—	—	-1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Could be reasonably handicapped on his handicap and seasonal bow with the champion jockey
14 (7)	Wrist Art Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Timothy Doyle	131	—	12130-	69	82	75	255d	—	—	+11	17	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Dual winner; 22lb higher here on his first run since October and probably best watched
7 (11)	Letiza Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Thomas Dowling	J:Ronan Whelan T:Thomas Dowling	136	p	70-095	74	85	38	13d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Much better effort in cheekpieces at the Curragh two weeks ago; back to 1m here suits
8 (12)	Sectarius Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:P J F Murphy	J:Gavin Ryan T:P J F Murphy	136	—	328-0	74	91	63	53d	—	—	+2	7.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Well below par last twice including on her seasonal and handicap debut at Naas in May
4 (18)	Lady Arwen Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Conor O'Dwyer	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Conor O'Dwyer	140	—	6140-6	78	82	67	78d	—	—	+4	8.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
All three wins have been at 7f or 1m; not seen since an ordinary run at Gowran in April
18 (14)	Mogwli Grey J:Jessica Maye(10) T:W McCreery	J:Jessica Maye(10) T:W McCreery	127	v	264060	65	89	74	21d	—	—	+1	5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Runner-up in a Curragh handicap in March; not at the same level since; others preferred
19 (15)	Old Mexican Brown J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Luke Comer	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Luke Comer	121	—	084-7	68	88	-	167d	—	—	+2	5.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Showed ability on the AW over the winter; unexposed and not impossible for him to figure
10 (1)	Belles Feuilles Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Mrs C O'Leary	132	t	1-0078	70	78	19	52d	—	—	+10	12.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor form for Gerry Keane; makes little appeal on debut for a new stable
5 (3)	Ransom Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:H D McGuigan	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:H D McGuigan	137	—	331008	75	91	48	20d	—	—	+8	10.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Three modest efforts since joining his current trainer and makes little appeal
17 (19)	Desert Wind Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Luke Comer	J:Robbie Colgan T:Luke Comer	128	tb	80058-	66	79	70	341d	—	—	+2	4.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Useful on AW on his day; on a long losing run and hard to recommend after 11 months off
NR (8)	Loingseoir Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	135	t	8-0005	73	89	67	66d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Gave the impression he was on his way back to form at Curragh; needs it softer though
NR (9)	Rampage Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:T G McCourt	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:T G McCourt	131	tv	802903	69	85	68	6d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Busy but consistent this year including when third off this mark at Bellewstown last week
NR (17)	Church Mountain Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	129	tp	7-0060	67	89	79	21d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Claims on last season's form but others arrive in better form and make more appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ferrybank	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2
Giuseppe Cassioli	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Eastern Wind	6/1	5/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Grey Leader	5/1	5/1	6/1	5/1	6/1
Rio Largo	15/2	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Royal Pippen	11/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mooretown Lad	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Wrist Art	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Letiza	12/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Sectarius	20/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	20/1
Lady Arwen	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Mogwli	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Old Mexican	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Belles Feuilles	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Ransom	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Desert Wind	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ferrybank

27.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 16 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Grey Leader

18.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

6/1

3rd

Wrist Art

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Belles Feuilles

12.9

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Rio Largo

12.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Giuseppe Cassioli

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Eastern Wind

11.1

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Ransom

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Rampage

9.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Royal Pippen

8.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Lady Arwen

8.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Letiza

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Sectarius

7.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mooretown Lad

7.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Loingseoir

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Old Mexican

5.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Mogwli

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Desert Wind

4.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Church Mountain

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Grey Leader	80	92	60
Ferrybank	79	83	70
Giuseppe Cassioli	78	85	68
Lady Arwen	78	82	67
Royal Pippen	75	89	63
Ransom	75	91	48
Letiza	74	85	38
Sectarius	74	91	63
Loingseoir	73	89	67
Eastern Wind	70	86	69
Mooretown Lad	70	84	26
Belles Feuilles	70	78	19
Wrist Art	69	82	75
Rampage	69	85	68
Rio Largo	68	91	80
Old Mexican	68	88	—
Church Mountain	67	89	79
Desert Wind	66	79	70
Mogwli	65	89	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eastern Wind	6d ago	Quick return
Rampage	6d ago	Quick return
Letiza	13d ago	Quick return
Giuseppe Cassioli	20d ago	Fit
Ransom	20d ago	Fit
Ferrybank	21d ago	Fit
Rio Largo	21d ago	Fit
Mogwli	21d ago	Fit
Church Mountain	21d ago	Fit
Grey Leader	34d ago	Fit
Royal Pippen	38d ago	Fit
Belles Feuilles	52d ago	Fresh
Sectarius	53d ago	Fresh
Loingseoir	66d ago	Fresh
Lady Arwen	78d ago	Fresh
Old Mexican	167d ago	Long break
Mooretown Lad	209d ago	Long break
Wrist Art	255d ago	Long break
Desert Wind	341d ago	Long break