Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nasrullah Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Leopardstown

19:25

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 1m1f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (11)	Air Commander Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:A P O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:A P O'Brien	125	v	6-1630	91	99	69	21d	—	—	-1	14.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two runs before Ascot suggest that he might need to be dropped in the handicap a little
10 (10)	Lady Lunette Bay J:Colin Keane T:R P Cody	J:Colin Keane T:R P Cody	126	p	-60492	82	108	87	29d	—	—	+3	17	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Could be best at 1m but may have won last time with some luck in running;Colin Keane rides
14 (12)	Benavente Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:James Ryan(5) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	122	—	413288	78	103	94	11d	—	—	+5	15.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Quite soundly beaten in a Curragh premier handicap two weeks ago; others preferred
9 (6)	Livio Milo Grey J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	127	b	146-32	83	103	81	35d	—	—	+2	10.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Blinkers tried here and every chance that he can turn the tables with Timourid
2 (3)	Blues Emperor Chestnut J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	138	—	28-056	94	106	80	11d	—	—	+5	13.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has struggled a little bit off this sort of mark; looks the stable second string here
4 (4)	Narmar Bay J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	133	b	180-45	89	101	56	25d	—	—	+4	11.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not beaten far in two conditions races but is hard enough to assess in his first handicap
3 (13)	Shayzann Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	135	t	540-67	91	101	80	11d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Good late work in a first-time tongue-tie in a Curragh premier handicap two weeks ago
11 (15)	Snellen Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	126	—	86-791	92	101	82	29d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Came back to form on her third handicap start when holding off Lady Lunette at Limerick
5 (2)	Casanova Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	131	—	9-4340	87	102	71	11d	—	—	+5	11	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Acts on any ground and has a chance at his best if getting some luck in running
1 (5)	Alanya Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	140	—	930-56	96	97	65	50d	—	—	+8	12.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Not beaten far in a Listed at Ayr in May;will probably appreciate being back in a handicap
13 (14)	Morse Bay J:N G McCullagh T:Charles Weld	J:N G McCullagh T:Charles Weld	123	—	5/3310	79	102	66	11d	—	—	+4	8.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Never a factor in a Curragh premier handicap two weeks ago; others preferred
15 (8)	Nahori Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Thomas Gibney	119	—	1-6055	75	99	73	50d	—	—	+10	14.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has received handicapper's leeway but others still look more likely; 3lb wrong here
6 (16)	Timourid Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Paul W Flynn	J:J M Sheridan T:Paul W Flynn	130	tp	00-815	86	101	80	27d	—	—	+5	10.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Narrow victory over Livio Milo over 1m1f here last month; should be thereabouts
7 (9)	Exquisite Acclaim Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	129	p	312176	85	102	82	35d	—	—	+15	18	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Handicapper may have had his measure on his last two runs; down 3lb and could fare better
NR (7)	Global Energy Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	129	—	1-1231	85	101	83	48d	—	—	—	15.8	—	—
Career high mark to overcome but every chance that he could progress enough to go close
NR (1)	September Leaves Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	119	v	55-414	85	91	77	19d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
Fair run in a handicap at Limerick last month; 8lb wrong here and faces an uphill task

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Air Commander	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Lady Lunette	6/1	11/2	11/2	13/2	11/2
Benavente	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Livio Milo	15/2	9/1	9/1	15/2	9/1
Blues Emperor	8/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Narmar	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Shayzann	8/1	10/1	9/1	8/1	10/1
Snellen	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	11/1
Casanova	12/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Alanya	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Morse	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Nahori	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Timourid	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Exquisite Acclaim	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Exquisite Acclaim

OR: 8.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

28/1

2nd

Lady Lunette

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

13/2

3rd

Global Energy

15.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Benavente

15.3

OR: 7 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Air Commander

14.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Nahori

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Blues Emperor

13.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Shayzann

12.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Alanya

12.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Snellen

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Narmar

11.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Casanova

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Livio Milo

10.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Timourid

10.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

September Leaves

8.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Morse

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alanya	96	97	65
Blues Emperor	94	106	80
Snellen	92	101	82
Air Commander	91	99	69
Shayzann	91	101	80
Narmar	89	101	56
Casanova	87	102	71
Timourid	86	101	80
Exquisite Acclaim	85	102	82
Global Energy	85	101	83
September Leaves	85	91	77
Livio Milo	83	103	81
Lady Lunette	82	108	87
Morse	79	102	66
Benavente	78	103	94
Nahori	75	99	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Benavente	11d ago	Quick return
Blues Emperor	11d ago	Quick return
Shayzann	11d ago	Quick return
Casanova	11d ago	Quick return
Morse	11d ago	Quick return
September Leaves	19d ago	Fit
Air Commander	21d ago	Fit
Narmar	25d ago	Fit
Timourid	27d ago	Fit
Lady Lunette	29d ago	Fit
Snellen	29d ago	Fit
Livio Milo	35d ago	Fit
Exquisite Acclaim	35d ago	Fit
Global Energy	48d ago	Fresh
Alanya	50d ago	Fresh
Nahori	50d ago	Fresh