Irish Stallion Farms EBF Brownstown Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares)

Leopardstown

18:15

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 7f35y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €38,350

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (4)	Special Wan Bay J:Ben Coen T:Patrick T Foley	J:Ben Coen T:Patrick T Foley	135	—	13-22	105	112	79	28d	—	—	-5	22.2	9/4 31%
Has run into Mutasarref last twice here and at Naas over this trip; will take beating
10 (3)	Red Viburnum Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	127	—	35-1	103	100	87	15d	—	—	+12	27.7	9/2 18%
Got off the mark in workmanlike fashion in a 1m Naas maiden; could do much better
9 (8)	Jancis Chestnut J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	127	—	1	-	97	94	28d	—	—	-1	14.4	5/1 17%
Showed a telling turn of foot to land a C&D maiden last month; has a Matron Stakes entry
6 (6)	Wendla Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	130	—	6-1616	101	100	72	12d	—	—	+4	16.4	7/1 13%
Found the step up to 1m2f at the Curragh 12 days ago too much; should do better here
8 (10)	Everlasting Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:A P O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:A P O'Brien	127	v	-43010	101	107	79	20d	—	—	+13	23.7	13/2 13%
Well beaten on much quicker ground in a first-time visor in the Sandringham last time
1 (7)	Curvature Chestnut J:Gary Carroll T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Gary Carroll T:Mrs John Harrington	135	—	60831-	-	111	88	270d	—	—	+6	14.6	9/1 10%
Not seen since October; will be more effective on soft ground later in the year
7 (1)	Bluedrum Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	127	—	1-73	93	100	59	33d	—	—	+13	19.5	16/1 6%
Didn't run badly behind Everlasting in a Navan Listed last month but more needed
5 (2)	Thornbrook Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	135	p	0136-7	101	108	90	28d	—	—	+9	14.1	25/1 4%
Well beaten in the Ballycorus Stakes here in June;cheekpieces left on but others preferred
NR (5)	Jumbly Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	135	—	356-25	102	111	65	66d	—	—	—	13	—
Disappointing when last seen in the Athasi Stakes two months ago; capable but frustrating
NR (9)	Pink Sorrel Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Joseph G Murphy	135	—	02-036	86	101	45	11d	—	—	—	9	—
Not disgraced in a 6f Curragh Listed latest but much more needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Special Wan	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
Red Viburnum	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Jancis	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Wendla	7/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Everlasting	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Curvature	8/1	9/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Bluedrum	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Thornbrook	25/1	18/1	22/1	22/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Red Viburnum

27.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Everlasting

23.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Special Wan

22.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Bluedrum

19.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Wendla

16.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Curvature

14.6

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Jancis

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Thornbrook

14.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Jumbly

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pink Sorrel

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Special Wan	105	112	79
Red Viburnum	103	100	87
Jumbly	102	111	65
Wendla	101	100	72
Everlasting	101	107	79
Thornbrook	101	108	90
Bluedrum	93	100	59
Pink Sorrel	86	101	45
Jancis	—	97	94
Curvature	—	111	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pink Sorrel	11d ago	Quick return
Wendla	12d ago	Quick return
Red Viburnum	15d ago	Fit
Everlasting	20d ago	Fit
Special Wan	28d ago	Fit
Jancis	28d ago	Fit
Thornbrook	28d ago	Fit
Bluedrum	33d ago	Fit
Jumbly	66d ago	Fresh
Curvature	270d ago	Long break