Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

16:45

Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Handicap

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Winning Time 1m 24.82s (slow by 1.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Beauty Viva (GB) James Doyle · Joseph Parr	5/1	Won
2nd	Run Boy Run (GB) Billy Loughnane · Richard Spencer	14/1	4.25
3rd	Brunel Nation (FR) David Egan · Richard Hughes	6/1	1
4th	Waiting All Night (GB) Ryan Moore · Richard Spencer	9/1	0.2
5th	Eminency (IRE) Connor Planas · Stuart Williams	16/1	0.1
6th	Final Watch (GB) Neil Callan · William Stone	12/1	2.5
7th	Zouzanna (GB) Oisin Murphy · Harry Charlton	7/2F	1.5
8th	Sir Winston (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · George Baker	40/1	.5
9th	Metabolt (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Loughnane	7/1	1
10th	Tiger Crusade (FR) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	40/1	1.25
11th	Smoky Mountain (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	14/1	.5
12th	Gisburn (IRE) William Buick · Richard Hannon	10/1	.75
13th	Ezra Cee (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Kevin Philippart De Foy	16/1	17

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Zouzanna Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry Charlton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry Charlton	135	—	136-93	83	98	43	29d	—	—	-4	13.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Stayed on from the rear for third at Newbury last month and is not yet fully exposed
11 (11)	Validated Bay J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	126	—	259-16	82	97	58	48d	—	—	0	11.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Race wide throughout when sixth in warm 3yo handicap at Goodwood in May; a player
10 (6)	Brunel Nation Bay J:David Egan T:Richard Hughes	J:David Egan T:Richard Hughes	126	—	-61149	82	97	72	27d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Disappointed on soft ground last time but looked progressive beforehand; might bounce back
1 (1)	Metabolt Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	142	—	36-411	90	97	87	25d	—	—	+2	13.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Took form to new level last month, battling well for two narrow wins; must be considered
9 (2)	Waiting All Night Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Spencer	J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Spencer	130	—	4-3952	78	97	70	15d	—	—	+2	9.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-18 since winning 2yo debut but ran well in defeat over C&D last month; in the mix again
3 (13)	Gisburn Chestnut J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	138	—	703065	86	96	83	25d	—	—	+4	12	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Recent 6f runs were perfectly respectable and this move back up to 7f won't be a problem
12 (4)	Run Boy Run Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Spencer	J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Spencer	123	p	-17720	79	98	85	27d	—	—	+9	14.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Free-going 3yo; ran well in first-time cheekpieces last month but well held since
5 (3)	Smoky Mountain Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	135	—	-12275	83	94	60	49d	—	—	+10	16	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dual AW winner during the winter; denied clear run when fifth on turf return in May
4 (10)	Eminency Grey J:Connor Planas(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Stuart Williams	137	t	0-9624	85	98	86	20d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Twice in the frame over 6f last month and well worth another crack at 7f
8 (9)	Final Watch Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Stone	J:Neil Callan T:William Stone	135	—	645-90	83	101	57	55d	—	—	+5	9.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Safely held on both starts this year but now 3lb lower than when winning this race in 2023
13 (7)	Ezra Cee Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Richard Kingscote T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	122	p	325-1	78	93	75	48d	—	—	+13	18.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Did not look straightforward when odds-on maiden winner in May but still has potential
2 (12)	Sir Winston Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	139	—	-30476	87	90	73	9d	—	—	+8	10.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran well until fading into sixth at Epsom last week; bit more needed here
7 (5)	Tiger Crusade Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	135	—	-04650	83	94	54	20d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
On the downgrade now but too well handicapped to rule out; moves back up in trip today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Zouzanna	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Validated	7/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Brunel Nation	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Metabolt	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Waiting All Night	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gisburn	11/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	11/1
Run Boy Run	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Smoky Mountain	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Eminency	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Final Watch	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Ezra Cee	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Sir Winston	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Tiger Crusade	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brunel Nation

19.6

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Ezra Cee

18.6

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

14/1

3rd

Smoky Mountain

OR: 8.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Run Boy Run

14.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Zouzanna

13.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Metabolt

13.3

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Gisburn

OR: 9 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Validated

11.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Sir Winston

10.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Eminency

10.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Final Watch

9.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Waiting All Night

9.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Tiger Crusade

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Metabolt	90	97	87
Sir Winston	87	90	73
Gisburn	86	96	83
Eminency	85	98	86
Zouzanna	83	98	43
Smoky Mountain	83	94	60
Final Watch	83	101	57
Tiger Crusade	83	94	54
Validated	82	97	58
Brunel Nation	82	97	72
Run Boy Run	79	98	85
Waiting All Night	78	97	70
Ezra Cee	78	93	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sir Winston	9d ago	Quick return
Waiting All Night	15d ago	Fit
Eminency	20d ago	Fit
Tiger Crusade	20d ago	Fit
Metabolt	25d ago	Fit
Gisburn	25d ago	Fit
Brunel Nation	27d ago	Fit
Run Boy Run	27d ago	Fit
Zouzanna	29d ago	Fit
Validated	48d ago	Fresh
Ezra Cee	48d ago	Fresh
Smoky Mountain	49d ago	Fresh
Final Watch	55d ago	Fresh