Signature Capital Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

16:35

Signature Capital Handicap

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 1m1f212y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,066

Winning Time 2m 10.00s (slow by 5.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Fantasy Believer (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	18/1	Won
2nd	Mustazeed (IRE) David Probert · Harry Eustace	17/2	.75
3rd	Al Mootamarid (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Marco Botti	15/2	2
4th	Miller Spirit (IRE) Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	15/2	0.2
5th	Moonlit Cloud (GB) Liam Keniry · Dean Ivory	16/1	.75
6th	Condor Pasa (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	5/4F	0.3
7th	Mafnood (GB) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	7/1	0.1
8th	Winter Reprise (FR) Benoit De La Sayette · Alan King	28/1	7
9th	Prophet's Dream (GB) Charles Bishop · Henrietta C Knight	50/1	9.5
10th	Specialisation (GB) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	12/1	15

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	Condor Pasa Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	134	—	3321	87	89	64	25d	—	—	-2	38.5	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Carlisle form has been let down but he brings potential into handicaps for his top yard
1 (7)	Mustazeed Brown J:David Probert T:Harry Eustace	J:David Probert T:Harry Eustace	142	—	420-80	85	92	44	28d	—	—	+1	11.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not won in over a year; slipping back to a better mark but opposable at the minute
8 (10)	Al Mootamarid Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	132	—	591-36	85	86	52	57d	—	—	+1	11.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Didn't offer much at York but gelded in the meantime and he's still lightly raced
10 (11)	Mafnood Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	131	b	5-2352	84	89	72	13d	—	—	+2	11.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Divided older opposition last time at Newmarket and should be on the premises
2 (5)	Miller Spirit Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	138	—	40-011	81	90	49	28d	—	—	+1	10.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Recent Goodwood wins have been over further but effective at this trip; up 4lb
9 (8)	Specialisation Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	132	—	9-15	85	83	28	21d	—	—	+4	10.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well beaten in two novices either side of a Wolverhampton win that reads well
5 (6)	Fantasy Believer Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	137	—	13849-	80	94	80	276d	—	—	+7	11.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Multiple winner; returns on a competitive mark and record fresh bodes well
7 (4)	Moonlit Cloud Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	132	—	826157	75	91	71	28d	—	—	+9	13.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
In career-best form until York last time and it's easy to envisage her bouncing back
3 (1)	Winter Reprise Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Alan King	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Alan King	138	—	43/738	81	91	39	13d	—	—	+5	8.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Could have run better last time at Newcastle and has become a hard horse to call
4 (3)	Prophet's Dream Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Charles Bishop T:Henrietta C Knight	137	—	1190-4	80	91	48	46d	—	—	+6	8.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Dual 1m2f winner who ran okay over 1m on reappearance; front runs
NR (9)	Superposition Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	534-5	81	88	68	77d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Gelded and had wind op since quiet return; plenty of promise in last season's runs

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Condor Pasa	11/10	6/5	evn	Evens	6/5
Mustazeed	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Al Mootamarid	15/2	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Mafnood	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Miller Spirit	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Specialisation	14/1	12/1	12/1	16/1	12/1
Fantasy Believer	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Moonlit Cloud	20/1	18/1	14/1	16/1	18/1
Winter Reprise	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Prophet's Dream	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Condor Pasa

38.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 15.9 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Moonlit Cloud

13.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

3rd

Mustazeed

11.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Al Mootamarid

11.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Fantasy Believer

11.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mafnood

11.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Specialisation

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Miller Spirit

10.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Winter Reprise

8.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Prophet's Dream

8.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Superposition

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Condor Pasa	87	89	64
Mustazeed	85	92	44
Al Mootamarid	85	86	52
Specialisation	85	83	28
Mafnood	84	89	72
Miller Spirit	81	90	49
Winter Reprise	81	91	39
Superposition	81	88	68
Fantasy Believer	80	94	80
Prophet's Dream	80	91	48
Moonlit Cloud	75	91	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mafnood	13d ago	Quick return
Winter Reprise	13d ago	Quick return
Specialisation	21d ago	Fit
Condor Pasa	25d ago	Fit
Mustazeed	28d ago	Fit
Miller Spirit	28d ago	Fit
Moonlit Cloud	28d ago	Fit
Prophet's Dream	46d ago	Fresh
Al Mootamarid	57d ago	Fresh
Superposition	77d ago	Fresh
Fantasy Believer	276d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Prophet's Dream	Front Runner
Winter Reprise	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.