Unibet/EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-07-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Winning Time 1m 14.10s (slow by 3.00s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Beauty Nation (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	5/2F	Won
2nd	Forager (GB) Tyler Heard · Simon Pearce	11/4	1.75
3rd	Lilly's Bet (GB) Tom Marquand · William Knight	4/1	1.5
3rd	One For Harvey (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	33/1	0
5th	Love Is The Law (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · George Scott	5/1	1.75
6th	Tequila Rose (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Amy Murphy	8/1	2.25
7th	Specified (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Marco Botti	12/1	0.2
8th	Three On Thursday (IRE) Clifford Lee · Dylan Cunha	33/1	0.3
9th	Dawn Awakening (IRE) Joey Haynes · Ivan Furtado	250/1	.5
10th	My Candy Girl (GB) Charles Bishop · Karen Jewell	250/1	5
11th	Dinky Diva (GB) Luke Morris · Phil McEntee	300/1	.5
12th	Logical Lady (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado	250/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Beauty Nation Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	8.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Nicely bred for Band D contender, being a half-sister to 5 winners; hooded; betting useful
5 (4)	Forager Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Simon Pearce	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Simon Pearce	128	—	5	-	78	-	18d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Backed at big odds on debut, traveling well but running green off the bridle; do better
6 (9)	Lilly's Bet Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Knight	J:Tom Marquand T:William Knight	128	h	55	-	77	-	5d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second run was a step up on debut; leading form contender with the prospect of even better
8 (1)	Love Is The Law Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
25,000euros half-sister to a useful 6f-1m winner; betting instructive
1 (5)	Tequila Rose Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Amy Murphy	J:Saffie Osborne T:Amy Murphy	135	—	210	70	69	-	17d	—	—	+7	17.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Brighton win in May (6f); out of her depth last time; could prove vulnerable under penalty
11 (7)	Specified Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	128	—	78	-	70	-	18d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
2l behind Forager at Yarmouth last month when she had the benefit of experience
12 (8)	Three On Thursday Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Dylan Cunha	J:Clifford Lee T:Dylan Cunha	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
1,500gns half-sister to 5f-6f winner Stay Smart; betting revealing
10 (6)	One For Harvey Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Dam a 5f-6f winner (RPR 80); yard not renowned for winning 2yo newcomers
3 (11)	Dawn Awakening Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Ivan Furtado	J:Joey Haynes T:Ivan Furtado	128	h	60	-	66	-	17d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Big prices and modest form in two runs last month; not easily recommended
7 (12)	Logical Lady Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	128	—	—	-	-	-	17d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
66-1 and finished tailed off at Doncaster 17 days ago (7f, good to firm); no appeal
9 (3)	My Candy Girl Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Karen Jewell	J:Charles Bishop T:Karen Jewell	128	—	60	-	47	-	24d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Poor form in two fillies' maidens on turf; new surface needs to have a dramatic effect
4 (10)	Dinky Diva Bay J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	128	—	09	-	27	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Poor form in two 6f AW maidens last month; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Beauty Nation	2/1	9/4	7/4	85/40	9/4
Forager	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1	16/5
Lilly's Bet	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Love Is The Law	15/2	13/2	17/2	15/2	7/1
Tequila Rose	9/1	15/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Specified	12/1	10/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Three On Thursday	50/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
One For Harvey	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1
Dawn Awakening	250/1	200/1	150/1	200/1	200/1
Logical Lady	250/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	250/1
My Candy Girl	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Dinky Diva	250/1	250/1	150/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tequila Rose

17.4

OR: 5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.9

9/1

2nd

Beauty Nation

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Lilly's Bet

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Forager

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Love Is The Law

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

17/2

Specified

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Three On Thursday

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

One For Harvey

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Dawn Awakening

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Logical Lady

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

My Candy Girl

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Dinky Diva

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tequila Rose	70	69	—
Beauty Nation	—	—	—
Forager	—	78	—
Lilly's Bet	—	77	—
Love Is The Law	—	—	—
Specified	—	70	—
Three On Thursday	—	—	—
One For Harvey	—	—	—
Dawn Awakening	—	66	—
Logical Lady	—	—	—
My Candy Girl	—	47	—
Dinky Diva	—	27	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lilly's Bet	5d ago	Quick return
Tequila Rose	17d ago	Fit
Dawn Awakening	17d ago	Fit
Logical Lady	17d ago	Fit
Forager	18d ago	Fit
Specified	18d ago	Fit
Dinky Diva	20d ago	Fit
My Candy Girl	24d ago	Fit
Beauty Nation	—	—
Love Is The Law	—	—
Three On Thursday	—	—
One For Harvey	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.