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Newcastle (AW)

14:35

County Hotel Handicap

Date 2024-07-27
Distance 1m4f98y
Class Class 4
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,972

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (2)
Baltic
Bay
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Harry Charlton
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Harry Charlton
 136 p 01-111
78
90
36
 28d — — -18
18.8
0.31/1
5/4
44%
Highly progressive since handicapping; 8lb rise demands more but he may well be up to it
7 (7)
Tryfan
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
 124 — 3-5216
77
86
80
 21d — — -10
17.3
0.56/1
9/4
31%
May not have seen out 1m6f latest having won over C&D off 4lb lower; remains lightly raced
3 (6)
Thundering
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
 137 — -70030
79
88
39
 14d — — +1
12.7
1.50/1
6/1
14%
Very inconsistent; the handicapper's proving slow to relent and he'd be a surprise winner
1 (4)
Appier
Bay
J:Dylan Hogan
T:S Woods
J:Dylan Hogan
T:S Woods
 142 — 941225
84
85
76
 8d — — +9
20.8
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Serial slow starter who's 5-12 on the AW and 2-2 over C&D; may not get this run to suit
2 (1)
Met Office
Bay
J:Hayley Turner
T:John Butler
J:Hayley Turner
T:John Butler
 138 — 0015-8
80
89
81
 23d — — +4
8.7
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Didn't offer a lot on his return from eight months off recently but is entitled to improve
6 (5)
Fox Flame
Bay
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
 130 v 591458
72
89
69
 28d — — +6
9.6
6.25/1
25/1
4%
9lb better off with Baltic than when behind him latest but do well to turn things round
4 (3)
Galahad Threepwood
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:Ewan Whillans
J:David Nolan
T:Ewan Whillans
 137 — 40344/
79
-
-
 — — — +7
9.3
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Over two years since he ran on the Flat; surprise were he still up to his current mark
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Baltic
 5/4 6/5 5/4
Tryfan
 9/4 15/8 9/4
Thundering
 11/2 6/1 6/1
Appier
 8/1 8/1 15/2
Met Office
 25/1 22/1 22/1
Fox Flame
 25/1 25/1 22/1
Galahad Threepwood
 66/1 66/1 66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Appier
20.8
OR: 8.5 Form: 9 Odds: 3.3
8/1
2nd Baltic
18.8
OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8
5/4
3rd Tryfan
17.3
OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.4
9/4
4 Thundering
12.7
OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3
6/1
5 Fox Flame
9.6
OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1
25/1
6 Galahad Threepwood
9.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6
66/1
7 Met Office
8.7
OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
25/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Appier
84
85
76
Met Office
80
89
81
Thundering
79
88
39
Galahad Threepwood
79
 — —
Baltic
78
90
36
Tryfan
77
86
80
Fox Flame
72
89
69

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Appier 8d ago Quick return
Thundering 14d ago Fit
Tryfan 21d ago Fit
Met Office 23d ago Fit
Baltic 28d ago Fit
Fox Flame 28d ago Fit
Galahad Threepwood — —