Newcastle (AW)

17:00

Livello Classified Stakes

Date 2024-07-27
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (1)
Split Elevens
Bay
J:Hayley Turner
T:John Butler
J:Hayley Turner
T:John Butler
136 544211
51
65
49
12d -2
29.8
0.44/1
7/4
36%
Remains in 0-50 company chasing a hat-trick; hard to knock out of the equation
9 (8)
Shaka
Bay
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
135 83U752
49
62
48
12d -7
10.2
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Got it together last time, when coming away with Split Elevens; makes the shortlist
6 (7)
Rockin Rosa
Chestnut
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
135 p 393330
49
65
45
36d -7
8.9
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Poor effort last time but the return to Tapeta should help
4 (9)
John Kirkup
Chestnut
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:David Thompson
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:David Thompson
135 563373
45
61
-
9d -2
8.3
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Retains his enthusiasm and arrives in form but his record on Tapeta is patchy at best
2 (4)
Barossa
b/br
J:Faye McManoman
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Faye McManoman
T:Nigel Tinkler
135 p 472207
45
59
36
39d -3
6.9
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Has had 16 cracks at it now and would have been better off with most were this a handicap
8 (3)
See My Baby Jive
Chestnut
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:Donald Whillans
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:Donald Whillans
135 7-8690
46
62
32
33d -4
1.4
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Hasn't been in any form; given another go without the blinkers worn for last summer's wins
7 (10)
Secret Daay
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:David Thompson
J:Ben Robinson
T:David Thompson
135 b 838400
44
61
31
17d -3
2
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Would have been 6lb better off with Split Elevens in a handicap and is hard to recommend
5 (6)
Parr Fire
Bay
J:Andrew Breslin(3)
T:Ben Haslam
J:Andrew Breslin(3)
T:Ben Haslam
135 79-588
46
56
-
24d -3
1.2
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Slow start and hanging badly left cost her last time; well held in her two runs beyond 6f
10 (2)
Spanish Saint
Grey
J:David Nolan
T:Nicky Richards
J:David Nolan
T:Nicky Richards
135 /797-8
46
56
-
20d -3
1.1
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Ex-Irish maiden; ordinary effort at this level latest; no certainty drop in trip will help
NR (5)
Bernie The Bear
Chestnut
J:Tommie Jakes(5)
T:Linda Perratt
J:Tommie Jakes(5)
T:Linda Perratt
135 p 424300
48
63
48
33d
2.5
Needs to bounce back from two ordinary efforts on turf and this trip does stretch him
11 (11)
Storm Master
Bay
J:Aiden Brookes(3)
T:John David Riches
J:Aiden Brookes(3)
T:John David Riches
135 b /28-00
44
48
-
27d
0
Hard to know what he's capable of now; easy enough to look elsewhere
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Split Elevens
SP 7/4 6/4 13/8 SP
Shaka
SP 4/1 4/1 9/2 SP
Rockin Rosa
SP 5/1 5/1 9/2 SP
John Kirkup
SP 17/2 17/2 10/1 SP
Barossa
SP 17/2 17/2 10/1 SP
See My Baby Jive
16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 SP
Secret Daay
SP 18/1 16/1 16/1 SP
Parr Fire
22/1 20/1 22/1 22/1 SP
Spanish Saint
25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Split Elevens
29.8
OR: 0.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 10
7/4
2nd Shaka
10.2
OR: 0 Form: 5.2 Odds: 5
9/2
3rd Rockin Rosa
8.9
OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4
5/1
4 John Kirkup
8.3
OR: 0 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.9
10/1
5 Barossa
6.9
OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 2.9
10/1
6 Bernie The Bear
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
7 Secret Daay
2
OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4
18/1
8 See My Baby Jive
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
16/1
9 Parr Fire
1.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
22/1
10 Spanish Saint
1.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25/1
11 Storm Master
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Split Elevens
51
65
49
Shaka
49
62
48
Rockin Rosa
49
65
45
Bernie The Bear
48
63
48
See My Baby Jive
46
62
32
Parr Fire
46
56
Spanish Saint
46
56
John Kirkup
45
61
Barossa
45
59
36
Secret Daay
44
61
31
Storm Master
44
48

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
John Kirkup 9d ago Quick return
Split Elevens 12d ago Quick return
Shaka 12d ago Quick return
Secret Daay 17d ago Fit
Spanish Saint 20d ago Fit
Parr Fire 24d ago Fit
Storm Master 27d ago Fit
See My Baby Jive 33d ago Fit
Bernie The Bear 33d ago Fit
Rockin Rosa 36d ago Fit
Barossa 39d ago Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.