AK Bets Best Price Premier League Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:05

AK Bets Best Price Premier League Handicap

Date 2024-08-26

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 40.06s (slow by 2.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Have You A Minute (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Tom Tate	15/2	Won
2nd	Waleyfa (GB) Billy Loughnane · Daniel & Claire Kubler	EvensF	0.2
3rd	Balqaa (GB) Jason Hart · Stella Barclay	10/1	0.3
4th	Back From Dubai (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Kevin Frost	28/1	1.5
5th	Handel (USA) Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	14/1	0.3
6th	Boujee Gold (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	12/1	1.25
7th	Meng Tian (GB) Ben Sanderson · S Woods	7/1	0.2
8th	Stand Free (GB) Hollie Doyle · Ivan Furtado	16/1	0.3
9th	United Force (IRE) Luke Morris · Clare Hobson	25/1	1.25
10th	Angel Amadea (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	22/1	.5
10th	Hailey Ya Mal (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	33/1	0
12th	Liv Lucky (IRE) P J McDonald · Roy Bowring	25/1	12
13th	Falcon (GB) Duran Fentiman · Olly Williams	80/1	8.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Waleyfa Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	136	h	-46781	56	70	39	6d	—	—	-16	24.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Won on stable debut at Brighton six days ago; respected if this race doesn't come too soon
8 (11)	Have You A Minute Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Tate	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Tate	132	—	7531-9	52	65	42	41d	—	—	-7	3.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
May have needed last month's Beverley return, but this trip looks sharp enough for him now
5 (8)	Meng Tian Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	134	—	156732	54	69	50	4d	—	—	-1	11.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed in last two starts and still off last winning mark; should go well again
12 (14)	Balqaa Bay J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	129	—	369774	49	72	58	30d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Just 2-37, has the outside stall and may prefer a stiffer test than this now
3 (2)	Boujee Gold Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	135	—	918-83	55	67	23	23d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-4	3.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Wolverhampton winner last November and a close third on turf last time; contender
10 (4)	Handel Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	131	—	866892	51	68	47	28d	—	—	+1	6.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Only beaten a short head at Wolverhampton last time, but is just 1-37 (0-25 on AW)
13 (9)	Stand Free Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ivan Furtado	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ivan Furtado	128	—	839701	48	65	62	24d	—	—	+7	12	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won a 0-50 classified event last time; will need a good pace over this shorter trip
4 (3)	Angel Amadea Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	134	t	534369	54	69	48	30d	—	—	0	4.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
2-3 at Wolverhampton, but 0-25 elsewhere and well held in one visit here
9 (5)	United Force Bay J:Luke Morris T:Clare Hobson	J:Luke Morris T:Clare Hobson	132	—	632016	52	65	49	7d	—	—	+7	10.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Bit of a mixed bag since returning in June; 0-13 on AW and not quite sure what to expect
14 (12)	Liv Lucky Bay J:P J McDonald T:Roy Bowring	J:P J McDonald T:Roy Bowring	127	p	2-4885	47	68	62	8d	—	—	+1	4.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Still has stamina to prove and a record of 1-31 suggests that others are more likely
11 (13)	Hailey Ya Mal Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	130	—	508409	50	65	50	118d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Best efforts have come on Tapeta, but he will need to find plenty more to break his duck
6 (6)	Back From Dubai Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Kevin Frost	J:Cieren Fallon T:Kevin Frost	133	p	-25807	53	72	48	12d	—	—	-1	2.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Lower in the weights than for three of his five wins around here; may be worth chancing
2 (1)	Falcon Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Olly Williams	J:Duran Fentiman T:Olly Williams	135	—	953-90	55	68	-	33d	—	—	0	1.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Tailed off in two turf handicaps for yard; return to AW needs to make a huge difference
NR (10)	Northbound Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Niven	J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Niven	132	—	-63656	52	-	-	20d	—	—	—	1.4	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Waleyfa	11/10	6/5	11/10	5/4	6/5
Have You A Minute	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Meng Tian	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Balqaa	10/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Boujee Gold	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Handel	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Stand Free	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Angel Amadea	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
United Force	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Liv Lucky	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Hailey Ya Mal	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Back From Dubai	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Falcon	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Waleyfa

24.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Stand Free

OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Meng Tian

11.7

OR: 1 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

United Force

10.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 9.1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Handel

6.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Liv Lucky

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Angel Amadea

4.2

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Have You A Minute

3.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Boujee Gold

3.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Back From Dubai

2.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Balqaa

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Falcon

1.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Northbound

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Hailey Ya Mal

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Waleyfa	56	70	39
Boujee Gold	55	67	23
Falcon	55	68	—
Meng Tian	54	69	50
Angel Amadea	54	69	48
Back From Dubai	53	72	48
Have You A Minute	52	65	42
United Force	52	65	49
Northbound	52	—	—
Handel	51	68	47
Hailey Ya Mal	50	65	50
Balqaa	49	72	58
Stand Free	48	65	62
Liv Lucky	47	68	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Meng Tian	4d ago	Quick return
Waleyfa	6d ago	Quick return
United Force	7d ago	Quick return
Liv Lucky	8d ago	Quick return
Back From Dubai	12d ago	Quick return
Northbound	20d ago	Fit
Boujee Gold	23d ago	Fit
Stand Free	24d ago	Fit
Handel	28d ago	Fit
Balqaa	30d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	30d ago	Fit
Falcon	33d ago	Fit
Have You A Minute	41d ago	Fit
Hailey Ya Mal	118d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.