Premier Electrical EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Carlisle

2:48

Date 2024-08-29

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,750

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (6)	Northern Ticker b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	133	—	31	-	91	38	27d	—	—	-18	27.1	10/11 52%
Bettered debut run when winning on AW last time (6f; strong form); should go well
1 (7)	Airspeed b J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	133	—	3412	81	89	78	25d	—	—	-1	30.7	15/8 35%
Won 5f maiden on second start; short-head second in 6f nursery latest; chance
8 (3)	Reddeef b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Charlie Fellowes	130	—	6	-	83	50	20d	—	—	-13	5.2	9/2 18%
By Blue Point out of a 5f winner; fair sixth on debut at Newmarket; improvement needed
6 (2)	Hill Street Blues b J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	130	t	46	-	73	62	34d	—	—	-3	1	25/1 4%
Fair efforts at York and Thirsk; tongue-tie now tried; looks more of a nursery sort
7 (4)	Keep The Gold b J:David Nolan T:Michael Dods	J:David Nolan T:Michael Dods	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
6,000gns yearling by Havana Gold out of a 1m AW winner; looks stable's second string
9 (5)	Tabago Moon b J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	130	—	4	-	65	28	16d	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
10,000euros 2yo in July; fourth of 11 in a Hamilton maiden on debut; likely improver
5 (10)	Golden Harmony b J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
By Kameko out of a half-sister to a 1,000 Guineas winner; likely to improve for the run
10 (8)	That Lucas Fella b J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	130	—	9	-	61	-	52d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
7,000euros breeze-up buy; well beaten over 7f on debut; may do better at 6f; more needed
3 (1)	Blue Lakota ch J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	69	-	65	22	54d	—	—	-1	0.3	200/1 0%
Modest efforts so far (well behind Northern Ticker latest); gelded since; may improve
4 (9)	Fan Mail b J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	130	—	—	-	-	-	41d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
By Mayson out of a 1m2f winner; beaten 33l at 50-1 on Pontefract debut; best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Northern Ticker	5/6	10/11	5/6	10/11	10/11
Airspeed	7/4	15/8	13/8	15/8	15/8
Reddeef	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Hill Street Blues	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Keep The Gold	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Tabago Moon	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Golden Harmony	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
That Lucas Fella	80/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Blue Lakota	200/1	125/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Fan Mail	200/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Airspeed

30.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Northern Ticker

27.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 15

10/11

3rd

Reddeef

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Hill Street Blues

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Keep The Gold

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Tabago Moon

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Golden Harmony

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

That Lucas Fella

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Blue Lakota

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Fan Mail

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Airspeed Top Rated	81	89	78
Northern Ticker	—	91	38
Reddeef	—	83	50
Hill Street Blues	—	73	62
Keep The Gold	—	—	—
Tabago Moon	—	65	28
Golden Harmony	—	—	—
That Lucas Fella	—	61	—
Blue Lakota	—	65	22
Fan Mail	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tabago Moon	16d ago	Fit
Reddeef	20d ago	Fit
Airspeed	25d ago	Fit
Northern Ticker	27d ago	Fit
Hill Street Blues	34d ago	Fit
Fan Mail	41d ago	Fit
That Lucas Fella	52d ago	Fresh
Blue Lakota	54d ago	Fresh
Keep The Gold	—	—
Golden Harmony	—	—