Northern Security Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

3:18

Northern Security Handicap

Date 2024-08-29

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,496

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (4)	Roberto Caro b J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	133	—	-12415	82	97	74	25d	—	—	+2	25.8	9/4 31%
7f winner last term; won over 6f on stable debut and good run last time; a possible
1 (8)	Eye Of Dubai b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	135	—	-12034	84	96	82	33d	—	—	0	19.8	10/3 23%
Won 7f novice on heavy in April; two good runs in 6f handicaps last two starts; chance
2 (5)	Valentine Catcher b J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	134	—	142-1	83	98	82	16d	—	—	+5	24	10/3 23%
Novice winner last term (6f, soft); won on h'cap debut last time; progressive; chance
4 (1)	Hedge Fund b J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	—	230066	82	97	95	26d	—	—	+1	11.7	8/1 11%
Won two nurseries in 2023; highly tried this term (good runs first 2 starts); bit to prove
6 (2)	Princess Alex b J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	131	—	411688	80	90	86	47d	—	—	+6	15	9/1 10%
Won over 5f as a 2yo and over 7f/7.5f earlier this year; interesting down in trip
3 (7)	Irish Nectar b J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	11-089	82	97	70	33d	—	—	+3	9.7	14/1 7%
Two wins on soft over 5f last autumn; fared less well this term; going suits; a possible
8 (6)	Knicks b J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	126	—	1-2100	75	94	55	47d	—	—	+10	14.5	22/1 4%
In good form in the spring; pulled hard in visor last twice; no headgear now; interesting
7 (3)	Thursday's Child b J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	131	—	11405	80	96	67	62d	—	—	+10	13.3	33/1 3%
Two wins earlier this year; not done as well last 2 starts; could do better after a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Roberto Caro	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Eye Of Dubai	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Valentine Catcher	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3
Hedge Fund	15/2	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2
Princess Alex	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Irish Nectar	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Knicks	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Thursday's Child	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Roberto Caro

25.8

OR: 8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 7.3

9/4

2nd

Valentine Catcher

OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Eye Of Dubai

19.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Princess Alex

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Knicks

14.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Thursday's Child

13.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Hedge Fund

11.7

OR: 8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Irish Nectar

9.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eye Of Dubai Top Rated	84	96	82
Valentine Catcher	83	98	82
Roberto Caro	82	97	74
Hedge Fund	82	97	95
Irish Nectar	82	97	70
Princess Alex	80	90	86
Thursday's Child	80	96	67
Knicks	75	94	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Valentine Catcher	16d ago	Fit
Roberto Caro	25d ago	Fit
Hedge Fund	26d ago	Fit
Eye Of Dubai	33d ago	Fit
Irish Nectar	33d ago	Fit
Princess Alex	47d ago	Fresh
Knicks	47d ago	Fresh
Thursday's Child	62d ago	Fresh