NXT Recruitment Handicap (Div I) – Carlisle

Carlisle

4:50

NXT Recruitment Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-08-29

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (9)	Dandy's Angel b J:Mark Winn T:John Wainwright	J:Mark Winn T:John Wainwright	125	—	464472	53	72	70	8d	—	—	-7	11	4/1 20%
C&D scorer; good second here eight days ago; must enter calculations off the same mark
8 (3)	Bateman b J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	553168	65	74	52	22d	—	—	-3	14.7	9/2 18%
Eighth (possibly found run coming too quickly) at Pontefract latest; worth another chance
1 (8)	John Chard VC b J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	144	—	4-0050	72	71	53	7d	—	—	-5	9.5	6/1 14%
Winless since 2022 but he arrives in decent form; needs considering back down in trip
3 (1)	Golden Melody ch J:David Nolan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Nolan T:Tim Easterby	142	b	677525	70	74	70	6d	—	—	0	11.8	6/1 14%
Course winner; solid fifth in Hamilton handicap six days ago; she's one for the shortlist
6 (4)	Rose Branch b J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	136	—	68-152	71	77	59	35d	—	—	-4	8.9	6/1 14%
Excellent second at Sandown latest; form franked so merits serious consideration up 1lb
5 (6)	Powerful Response b J:Rowan Scott T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Rowan Scott T:Geoffrey Harker	139	—	414967	67	76	52	43d	—	—	0	8.8	9/1 10%
Landed 1m2f Nottingham handicap in April but his more recent form is not so encouraging
4 (10)	Gainsbourg b J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	140	p	568081	68	74	54	47d	—	—	+8	17	9/1 10%
Refitted with cheekpieces when scoring at Hamilton latest; up 2lb but not taken lightly
7 (5)	Straya ch J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	135	—	785756	70	71	57	17d	—	—	+1	6.6	16/1 6%
Still to get her head in front but she's made a solid start to life for her current yard
9 (2)	Mystical Maria gr J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	129	—	3590	64	70	40	19d	—	—	+2	5.5	28/1 3%
Last of ten on her handicap debut at Haydock (1m) 19 days ago; needs to get back on track
NR (7)	Savrola b J:TBC T:Dianne Sayer	J: T:Dianne Sayer	143	—	45-466	71	76	52	42d	—	—	—	5.3	—
Has failed to beat a rival on his last two outings at Haydock and Hamilton

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dandy's Angel	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bateman	9/2	7/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
John Chard VC	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Golden Melody	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Rose Branch	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Powerful Response	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Gainsbourg	9/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	9/1
Straya	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Mystical Maria	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gainsbourg

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Bateman

14.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Golden Melody

11.8

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Dandy's Angel

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

John Chard VC

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Rose Branch

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Powerful Response

8.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Straya

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mystical Maria

5.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Savrola

5.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
John Chard VC Top Rated	72	71	53
Rose Branch	71	77	59
Savrola	71	76	52
Golden Melody	70	74	70
Straya	70	71	57
Gainsbourg	68	74	54
Powerful Response	67	76	52
Bateman	65	74	52
Mystical Maria	64	70	40
Dandy's Angel	53	72	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Melody	6d ago	Quick return
John Chard VC	7d ago	Quick return
Dandy's Angel	8d ago	Quick return
Straya	17d ago	Fit
Mystical Maria	19d ago	Fit
Bateman	22d ago	Fit
Rose Branch	35d ago	Fit
Savrola	42d ago	Fit
Powerful Response	43d ago	Fit
Gainsbourg	47d ago	Fresh