Thames Handicap – Windsor · The Final Fence

Windsor

17:15

Thames Handicap

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,768

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Kento gr/b J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	135	b	364832	61	71	55	25d	—	—	-10	18.7	0.50/1	2/1 33%
0-9 but better for blinkers the last twice and unlikely to be far away
4 (1)	Notre Maison Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	133	v	-43613	58	73	62	21d	—	—	-1	18.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Followed her C&D win with a near miss at Chepstow off this 7lb higher mark; solid
7 (5)	Cabeza De Llave Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	131	—	576772	56	72	49	14d	—	—	-3	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D success one of four wins; back to form with a neck defeat here two weeks ago
1 (6)	Papa Don't Preach Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	136	—	67-946	61	71	40	14d	—	—	-5	5.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
He's not as good as he was and has always found winning difficult (2-30)
6 (2)	Bama Lama Chestnut J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	131	—	214243	56	74	68	17d	—	—	+1	12.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two course wins and has been holding her form well all year; likes to be handy
8 (7)	Milliethemollie Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	131	t	262826	57	74	62	21d	—	—	0	9.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Irish winner; 0-12 for current yard but has been thereabouts on occasions
3 (8)	Umming N' Ahing Chestnut J:Gina Mangan T:Bill Turner	J:Gina Mangan T:Bill Turner	135	—	0-8505	60	65	38	13d	—	—	-1	3.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won three on the spin in early 2023 but not a lot to shout about since
5 (9)	Apple A Dey Bay J:David Egan T:Mark Hoad	J:David Egan T:Mark Hoad	132	—	0/39-3	57	75	50	201d	—	—	+2	5.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Modest form thus far but handicapped accordingly and she's lightly raced
9 (3)	Haveagobeau Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jim Boyle	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jim Boyle	121	v	809567	46	61	43	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Limited maiden from 5f to 1m and with a mark of 41 he's 5lb out of the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kento	2/1	2/1	2/1	7/4	15/8
Notre Maison	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Cabeza De Llave	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Papa Don't Preach	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Bama Lama	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	13/2
Milliethemollie	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Umming N' Ahing	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Apple A Dey	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Haveagobeau	100/1	66/1	80/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kento

18.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Notre Maison

18.6

OR: 2 Form: 10.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Bama Lama

12.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Cabeza De Llave

10.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Milliethemollie

9.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Papa Don't Preach

5.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Apple A Dey

5.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Umming N' Ahing

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Haveagobeau

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kento	61	71	55
Papa Don't Preach	61	71	40
Umming N' Ahing	60	65	38
Notre Maison	58	73	62
Milliethemollie	57	74	62
Apple A Dey	57	75	50
Cabeza De Llave	56	72	49
Bama Lama	56	74	68
Haveagobeau	46	61	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Haveagobeau	11d ago	Quick return
Umming N' Ahing	13d ago	Quick return
Cabeza De Llave	14d ago	Fit
Papa Don't Preach	14d ago	Fit
Bama Lama	17d ago	Fit
Notre Maison	21d ago	Fit
Milliethemollie	21d ago	Fit
Kento	25d ago	Fit
Apple A Dey	201d ago	Long break