Bet @racingtv.com Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Bet @racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 2m 22.54s (slow by 4.64s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pablo Prince (GB) Luke Morris · Karen Jewell	9/1	Won
2nd	Darkzideofthemoon (IRE) Neil Callan · John Butler	5/2F	0.3
3rd	Nasim (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Mark Pattinson	11/1	4.5
4th	Budding (IRE) Tom Marquand · Hughie Morrison	11/4	1
5th	Voyeur (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	15/2	1.5
6th	Maruna (GB) Callum Shepherd · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	25/1	0.2
7th	Beaming Light (GB) Frederick Larson · Laura Horsfall	18/1	1.5
8th	A Poet's Secret (GB) Marco Ghiani · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	8/1	1.25
9th	River Alwen (IRE) Charlie Bennett · Craig Benton	66/1	0.3
10th	Seraphic (IRE) David Probert · Simon Pearce	15/2	11

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Darkzideofthemoon Bay J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	137	p	47-872	59	71	35	96d	—	—	-13	8.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Maiden; improved handicap form when 2nd to next-time winner over C&D in June; off since
8 (4)	Budding Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	132	t	547262	60	72	50	17d	—	—	-6	16.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Good effort when runner-up over similar trip on turf in May; excuses since; considered
3 (1)	Seraphic Bay J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	136	t	-62453	58	68	38	14d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-3	10.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In the frame on AW in March; back to form when close 3rd over 1m3f on turf latest
1 (2)	A Poet's Secret Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	138	tp	087926	60	67	-	48d	—	—	0	8.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won over 2m on AW in November but hasn't beaten many rivals since; risky
4 (5)	Nasim Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mark Pattinson	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mark Pattinson	136	—	742776	58	69	43	31d	—	—	-2	5.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Three AW wins at 1m; outstayed over C&D last summer in sole attempt beyond 1m2f
10 (12)	Pablo Prince Bay J:Luke Morris T:Karen Jewell	J:Luke Morris T:Karen Jewell	128	p	547067	50	71	54	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
All three wins on AW; hinted at revival on turf at Windsor recently; not ruled out
5 (7)	Voyeur Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	75709	62	66	30	13d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has shown promise on both AW surfaces but little evidence that he's well treated
11 (3)	Sir Patchy b/br J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	124	—	008-97	46	65	48	25d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Still early days but improvement needed on low-key Lingfield AW runs at 1m4f and 1m
9 (11)	Maruna Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	130	—	-90755	52	67	49	59d	—	—	-2	1.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Winner of 1m AW novice; yet to make a serious mark in handicaps; return to AW might help
6 (6)	Beaming Light Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Laura Horsfall	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Laura Horsfall	133	h	954099	55	65	52	17d	—	—	-1	2.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Minor handicap form; looked in need of further over 1m at Southwell in August
7 (10)	River Alwen Grey J:Charlie Bennett T:Craig Benton	J:Charlie Bennett T:Craig Benton	132	b	067486	54	69	17	14d	—	—	0	1.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Seemed to be running into form when close 4th at Epsom in August; lesser runs since
NR (9)	Seaborough Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Derek Shaw	J:Raul Da Silva T:Derek Shaw	124	—	7/80-6	46	59	-	46d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Last 2 wins over hurdles; finding it hard to recapture form these days

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Darkzideofthemoon	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Budding	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Seraphic	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
A Poet's Secret	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Nasim	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Pablo Prince	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Voyeur	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Sir Patchy	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Maruna	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Beaming Light	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
River Alwen	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Budding

16.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Seraphic

10.1

OR: 2 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Darkzideofthemoon

8.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

A Poet's Secret

8.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Nasim

5.7

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Voyeur

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Beaming Light

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Pablo Prince

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Sir Patchy

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Maruna

1.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

River Alwen

1.5

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Seaborough

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Voyeur	62	66	30
Budding	60	72	50
A Poet's Secret	60	67	—
Darkzideofthemoon	59	71	35
Seraphic	58	68	38
Nasim	58	69	43
Beaming Light	55	65	52
River Alwen	54	69	17
Maruna	52	67	49
Pablo Prince	50	71	54
Sir Patchy	46	65	48
Seaborough	46	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Voyeur	13d ago	Quick return
Seraphic	14d ago	Fit
Pablo Prince	14d ago	Fit
River Alwen	14d ago	Fit
Budding	17d ago	Fit
Beaming Light	17d ago	Fit
Sir Patchy	25d ago	Fit
Nasim	31d ago	Fit
Seaborough	46d ago	Fresh
A Poet's Secret	48d ago	Fresh
Maruna	59d ago	Fresh
Darkzideofthemoon	96d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.