racingtv.com Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

17:20

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 25.93s (slow by 1.83s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sparkling Red (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	6/1	Won
2nd	Capital Guarantee (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	11/4F	1
3rd	San Isidro (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	25/1	0.2
4th	Mister Sox (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	5/1	2.75
5th	Emily Post (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	17/2	1.25
6th	Asmund (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Declan Carroll	11/1	1.5
7th	Naval Academy (GB) Dougie Costello · Mark Walford	40/1	.75
8th	Phoenix Fire (IRE) Rhys Elliott · Michael Dods	8/1	0.2
9th	Blackjack (GB) Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	28/1	0.3
10th	Reputation (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	16/1	1.5
11th	Beltane (IRE) Jason Hart · Mark Walford	12/1	2
12th	Manigordo (USA) Duran Fentiman · Adrian Nicholls	18/1	3.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Capital Guarantee Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	p	005999	68	81	68	9d	—	—	-10	10.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Completed hat-trick over 7f in 2023; not in same form this time; cheekpieces replace visor
2 (8)	Mister Sox Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	137	p	-92212	70	82	70	90d	—	—	+10	25.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In good form earlier in the season; back from a break; best with some give; chance
8 (10)	Sparkling Red Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	133	v	286864	66	85	69	10d	—	—	-5	7.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Did well on first go at 7f when 4th last time; best with some give; one with a chance
4 (7)	Emily Post Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	136	h	-68656	69	80	66	29d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Pontefract winner last term (6f); not in such good form this term but on last winning mark
7 (13)	Phoenix Fire Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	133	p	-02008	66	79	46	26d	—	—	0	7.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hasn't won since 2022; good second with headgear in April but mainly disappointing since
10 (6)	Manigordo b/br J:Duran Fentiman T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Duran Fentiman T:Adrian Nicholls	131	tp	086875	64	77	66	28d	—	—	-2	5.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Winner over 7.5f for Tim Easterby in 2023; far run last time; on a good mark; a possible
9 (3)	Beltane Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	132	—	582702	65	82	73	11d	—	—	+6	12	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Some fair runs for present yard this term, notably when 2nd in July (7f); each-way chance
13 (2)	Asmund Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Declan Carroll	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Declan Carroll	118	b	408183	51	82	69	22d	—	—	+4	10	3.50/1	14/1 7%
6f winner in July; not run as well since; conditions suit and not without a chance
12 (5)	Reputation Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	126	—	334743	59	81	64	16d	—	—	+2	7.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Veteran; AW winner last December; creditable runs on last 2 starts; each-way chance
3 (11)	Blackjack Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	136	b	854168	69	81	-	12d	—	—	+7	11	4.50/1	18/1 5%
C&D win in 2022 but other wins have been on AW; not in best of form
1 (1)	Naval Academy Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Mark Walford	J:Dougie Costello T:Mark Walford	137	t	042170	70	81	73	29d	—	—	+9	12.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Running well in the summer, winning over 7f at Haydock; not so good since; others stronger
11 (9)	San Isidro Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	128	he	3-3700	61	79	46	23d	—	—	+2	5.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two fair AW runs after wind op last winter; not as good since; eyeshield added
NR (12)	Biplane Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John Wainwright	J:NON-RUNNER T:John Wainwright	134	p	024218	67	82	-	30d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Latest win was over 6f but stays 1m; fair run in muddling race at 7f latest; could go well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Capital Guarantee	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Mister Sox	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Sparkling Red	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Emily Post	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Phoenix Fire	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Manigordo	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Beltane	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Asmund	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Reputation	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Blackjack	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Naval Academy	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
San Isidro	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mister Sox

25.4

OR: 5 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Biplane

14.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Naval Academy

12.5

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Beltane

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Blackjack

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Capital Guarantee

10.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Asmund

OR: 0.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Phoenix Fire

7.7

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Sparkling Red

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Reputation

7.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Emily Post

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

San Isidro

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Manigordo

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mister Sox	70	82	70
Naval Academy	70	81	73
Emily Post	69	80	66
Blackjack	69	81	—
Capital Guarantee	68	81	68
Biplane	67	82	—
Sparkling Red	66	85	69
Phoenix Fire	66	79	46
Beltane	65	82	73
Manigordo	64	77	66
San Isidro	61	79	46
Reputation	59	81	64
Asmund	51	82	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Capital Guarantee	9d ago	Quick return
Sparkling Red	10d ago	Quick return
Beltane	11d ago	Quick return
Blackjack	12d ago	Quick return
Reputation	16d ago	Fit
Asmund	22d ago	Fit
San Isidro	23d ago	Fit
Phoenix Fire	26d ago	Fit
Manigordo	28d ago	Fit
Emily Post	29d ago	Fit
Naval Academy	29d ago	Fit
Biplane	30d ago	Fit
Mister Sox	90d ago	Fresh