Ultimate Provence Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

17:05

Ultimate Provence Handicap

Date 2024-09-26

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,700

Winning Time 1m 46.82s (slow by 10.72s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Terries Royale (GB) Tom Marquand · Michael Appleby	6/5F	Won
2nd	Pressure's On (FR) Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	15/2	2.25
3rd	Desperate Dan (IRE) Ray Dawson · Peter Chapple-Hyam	20/1	.5
4th	Bajan Bandit (GB) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	25/1	0.1
5th	Amsterdam (GB) Oisin Murphy · Ed Walker	2/1	6.5
6th	Stockpyle (GB) Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	28/1	2.25
7th	Mr Baloo (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	12/1	2.5
8th	Lake Teo (IRE) William Buick · Charles Hills	16/1	4

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (14)	Terries Royale Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	132	—	732412	72	91	81	11d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	31.4	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Off the mark at Ascot before he seemingly threw away a Doncaster 1m race by veering left
5 (13)	Amsterdam Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	137	—	6-2522	81	85	66	18d	—	—	-11	16.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Five-race maiden with three seconds, including from the front in 7f/1m handicaps
11 (2)	Pressure's On Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	1-2855	77	87	75	28d	—	—	+5	17.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not so good lately and he did not convince for stamina when trying 1m on latest start
4 (3)	Mr Baloo Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	138	—	141594	82	84	69	13d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+5	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two 3yo wins on Kempton AW; something to find today judged on turf efforts in particular
14 (11)	Lake Teo Bay J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	128	—	64325	72	81	70	47d	—	—	+6	12.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Needs to find a fair bit extra for today's drop back in trip if she's to get off the mark
3 (1)	Bajan Bandit Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	139	—	2-0000	79	85	39	12d	—	—	+8	12	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Badly lost his form this spring and he was again among the backmarkers 12 days ago
13 (7)	Desperate Dan Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Ray Dawson T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	129	—	8028	73	82	58	23d	—	—	+6	10.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Hampered on handicap debut last time; improvement is still needed to win this, though
2 (12)	Stockpyle Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	139	—	117559	79	88	76	19d	—	—	+6	10.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Quick double when front-running in June but not so good since, particularly latest start
NR (8)	Repertoire Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	139	—	445373	79	91	76	33d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
Fair third last time; has a competitive mark judged on peak efforts in 2023 and 2024
NR (6)	Hieronymus Bay J:Nicola Currie T:George Baker	J:Nicola Currie T:George Baker	137	p	088083	77	83	58	19d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
Back to form on AW last time; 0-22 on turf; others preferred
NR (9)	Classic Encounter Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	136	—	622-5	80	91	77	16d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
2nd twice for C Appleby as 2yo and showed promise on recent reappearance; handicap debut
NR (4)	Island Bandit Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	136	b	26-747	76	87	77	28d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Often front-runner; six wins overall but he's not fired in his three runs this season
NR (5)	Where's Freddy Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Stuart Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Stuart Williams	133	tp	-30152	73	87	81	5d	—	—	—	16.4	—	—
Has done well at Newmarket over 7f; it wasn't the trip which beat him in two 1m placings
NR (10)	Drink Dry Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	133	p	321473	77	84	77	27d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
Creditable 3rd of six at Sandown on latest start was his best show in last three handicaps

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Terries Royale	5/4	6/5	5/4
Amsterdam	9/4	2/1	9/4
Pressure's On	13/2	15/2	13/2
Mr Baloo	12/1	11/1	11/1
Lake Teo	18/1	16/1	16/1
Bajan Bandit	20/1	18/1	20/1
Desperate Dan	25/1	22/1	22/1
Stockpyle	25/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Terries Royale

31.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Pressure's On

17.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Where's Freddy

16.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0

—

Amsterdam

16.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Drink Dry

13.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Mr Baloo

13.2

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Lake Teo

12.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Bajan Bandit

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Repertoire

11.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Desperate Dan

10.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Stockpyle

10.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Hieronymus

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Classic Encounter

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Island Bandit

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mr Baloo	82	84	69
Amsterdam	81	85	66
Classic Encounter	80	91	77
Bajan Bandit	79	85	39
Stockpyle	79	88	76
Repertoire	79	91	76
Pressure's On	77	87	75
Hieronymus	77	83	58
Drink Dry	77	84	77
Island Bandit	76	87	77
Desperate Dan	73	82	58
Where's Freddy	73	87	81
Terries Royale	72	91	81
Lake Teo	72	81	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Where's Freddy	5d ago	Quick return
Terries Royale	11d ago	Quick return
Bajan Bandit	12d ago	Quick return
Mr Baloo	13d ago	Quick return
Classic Encounter	16d ago	Fit
Amsterdam	18d ago	Fit
Stockpyle	19d ago	Fit
Hieronymus	19d ago	Fit
Desperate Dan	23d ago	Fit
Drink Dry	27d ago	Fit
Pressure's On	28d ago	Fit
Island Bandit	28d ago	Fit
Repertoire	33d ago	Fit
Lake Teo	47d ago	Fresh