Betfair Safer Gambling Tools Nursery Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

4:50

Betfair Safer Gambling Tools Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,004

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (7)	Havana Club ch J:Finley Marsh T:Warren Greatrex	J:Finley Marsh T:Warren Greatrex	133	h	85034	53	57	51	18d	—	—	-10	8.1	4/1 20%
Couple of respectable efforts since handicapping; frame possibilities
7 (11)	Adelaide Bay b J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	086	50	58	42	26d	—	—	-16	6.7	3/1 25%
Attracted support the last twice; seemingly thought capable of better
1 (9)	Khutulun gr J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	136	p	599	56	52	13	95d	—	—	-9	5.5	13/2 13%
May improve now handicapping and upped in trip with headgear fitted
6 (8)	Mehmasself And I ch J:Ross Coakley T:Tom Dascombe	J:Ross Coakley T:Tom Dascombe	131	tv	0404	51	58	49	38d	—	—	-8	3.3	17/2 11%
Ties in with Havana Club on Kempton form last time (nursery debut)
11 (5)	Lift Lady b J:Hollie Doyle T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Hollie Doyle T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	126	t	637834	46	60	32	11d	—	—	-5	5.6	15/2 12%
In-form filly but she is the most exposed contender, being 0-9
2 (3)	City Captain b J:Shariq Mohd(7) T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Shariq Mohd(7) T:Sylvester Kirk	135	—	559	55	61	27	14d	—	—	-6	3.9	9/1 10%
From a family that has served his owner-breeder well; open to progress
13 (1)	Top Biller b J:Hayley Turner T:Jamie Osborne	J:Hayley Turner T:Jamie Osborne	125	—	006	45	52	-	42d	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
Handicap debutant; stablemate of Freak Encounter; check the betting
5 (4)	Poke The Bear b J:Jonny Peate T:Amy Murphy	J:Jonny Peate T:Amy Murphy	132	p	9576	52	57	48	12d	—	—	-4	2.1	20/1 5%
Ties in with Me Tarzan on Kempton running last week; not ruled out
9 (2)	Twilight Poppy b J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Kevin Frost	128	—	99045	48	59	28	12d	—	—	-4	1.6	20/1 5%
Gives the impression she may improve for this new trip; possibilities
8 (10)	Fregola ch J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	130	—	877778	50	58	42	28d	—	—	-4	1.4	20/1 5%
Still looks one of her powerful stable's lesser lights
10 (6)	Ruby Rascal b J:Charlie Bennett T:Joseph Parr	J:Charlie Bennett T:Joseph Parr	126	—	68577	46	56	21	27d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
Pedigree suggests this step up to 7f may prompt improvement
14 (14)	Ardads Dream b J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Mark Usher	125	p	90969	45	51	44	13d	—	—	-2	0.7	66/1 1%
Best effort when midfield over C&D on penultimate outing
NR (13)	Me Tarzan b J:NON-RUNNER T:James Fanshawe	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Fanshawe	133	—	9884	53	55	42	12d	—	—	—	0.8	—
Ran promisingly at Kempton last week on nursery debut; warrants respect
NR (12)	Freak Encounter b J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Osborne	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Osborne	125	—	98953	45	59	-	9d	—	—	—	3	—
Improved effort at Yarmouth last week; place possibilities

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Havana Club	10/3	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Adelaide Bay	3/1	5/2	3/1	11/4	11/4
Khutulun	6/1	13/2	6/1	11/2	5/1
Mehmasself And I	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Lift Lady	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
City Captain	8/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Top Biller	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Poke The Bear	20/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Twilight Poppy	20/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Fregola	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Ruby Rascal	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Ardads Dream	66/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Havana Club

8.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Adelaide Bay

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Lift Lady

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Khutulun

5.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

City Captain

3.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Mehmasself And I

3.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Freak Encounter

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Poke The Bear

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Twilight Poppy

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Top Biller

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Fregola

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ruby Rascal

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Me Tarzan

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ardads Dream

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khutulun Top Rated	56	52	13
City Captain	55	61	27
Havana Club	53	57	51
Me Tarzan	53	55	42
Poke The Bear	52	57	48
Mehmasself And I	51	58	49
Adelaide Bay	50	58	42
Fregola	50	58	42
Twilight Poppy	48	59	28
Lift Lady	46	60	32
Ruby Rascal	46	56	21
Top Biller	45	52	—
Ardads Dream	45	51	44
Freak Encounter	45	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Freak Encounter	9d ago	Quick return
Lift Lady	11d ago	Quick return
Poke The Bear	12d ago	Quick return
Twilight Poppy	12d ago	Quick return
Me Tarzan	12d ago	Quick return
Ardads Dream	13d ago	Quick return
City Captain	14d ago	Fit
Havana Club	18d ago	Fit
Adelaide Bay	26d ago	Fit
Ruby Rascal	27d ago	Fit
Fregola	28d ago	Fit
Mehmasself And I	38d ago	Fit
Top Biller	42d ago	Fit
Khutulun	95d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Poke The Bear	Mid-Pack
Ardads Dream	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.